TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,878 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe20a…e469backed Pacers50c69,889$34,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,790.552,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Pacers53c52,157$27,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,64312639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks47c37,177$17,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,704.011,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks47c34,619$16,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,348.281,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Pacers53c21,000$11,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,1306546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4001,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Knicks50c17,205$8,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,602.531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…f57fbacked Knicks50c12,800$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,400366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Knicks51c11,000$5,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,389.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb1…0ca3backed Knicks50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e81…0b95backed Pacers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9477348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Pacers52c9,495$4,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,937.3423147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Pacers49c8,629$4,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,226.5442153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Knicks50c8,602$4,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3013943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f4…ed78backed Knicks48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2501662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks47c4,507$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.173,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Knicks51c4,500$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20514245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Knicks50c3,990$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.0948546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks50c3,882$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.494,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57bc…e7e0backed Knicks52c2,037$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Knicks50c1,935$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.2238946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers51c1,439$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.533,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks49c1,437$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Pacers53c1,400$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74228245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks56c1,391$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.021,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Knicks50c1,184$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59210556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ee…1a13backed Pacers49c1,165$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97d3…8acebacked Knicks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks49c978.54$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pacers47c785.84$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.22,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Knicks54c600$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.6950239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks50c599.89$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.432,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd5…1501backed Pacers49c549$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Knicks48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8335849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pacers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976e…ecf3backed Pacers45c355.47$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.782339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pacers52c355.15$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.681,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks48c339$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.286,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2694…a27bbacked Pacers49c288$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Pacers53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Pacers48c270.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13045542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pacers49c267.3$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.742,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers52c216.39$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.854,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Knicks49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1025,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Pacers53c196.23$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10418143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks48c191.83$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7557650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Knicks48c190.85$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2422154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks49c177.95$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.923,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Knicks48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6710050%50 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Knicks45c160.12$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7851438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Pacers53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.859144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Knicks49c141.74$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2938750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers52c114.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.993,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Knicks51c103$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4710955%60 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Pacers49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Knicks48c102.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.066848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Knicks51c102$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9828243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Knicks53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4759650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Knicks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Knicks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5038464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ec7bbacked Knicks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Pacers50c96.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6420847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Pacers53c94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8266153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed Knicks48c93.53$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.641850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Knicks44c91.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3821349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Pacers48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pacers53c75.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb2…eb78backed Pacers49c73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.773354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Knicks47c71.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.410943.1%47 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pacers46c69.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Knicks48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.245251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers51c58.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.712,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Pacers49c58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4238252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Pacers53c56.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012542.4%53 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Pacers41c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6518157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Pacers50c49.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7329645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf5…b8efbacked Pacers53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510350.5%52 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks49c43.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.991,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c80…efb9backed Knicks48c41.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.232860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f40…5401backed Pacers49c40.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.995949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Knicks50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2038453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Pacers51c32.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.781,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x290e…0783backed Knicks46c31.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.226949.3%34 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pacers48c31.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Pacers53c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4311847.5%56 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pacers48c30.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.481,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Pacers53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.915240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1525…2815backed Knicks60c29.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.763053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Knicks53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.326757.3%153 W · 114 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Pacers53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…9aa2backed Pacers51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.755046%23 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Pacers53c24.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Knicks50c24.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.161,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Knicks50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1240750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Pacers53c23.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…33febacked Knicks47c21.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.