TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$494,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,695 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x59a0…9a09backed Under50c345,512$172,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172,075.093560%21 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c193,938$97,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,244.771,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over52c90,656$47,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,514.7687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c59,822$28,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,714.7826253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over50c52,241$26,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,114.3666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c32,041$16,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,017.481,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under48c19,300$9,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,26429245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c13,355$6,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,590.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c11,286$5,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,593.584,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c11,173$5,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,574.972,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over51c10,676$5,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,244.591,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Under49c8,521$4,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,175.321464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c6,250$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1251,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c5,202$2,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6014,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c4,547$2,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0008154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c3,874$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.172,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20019445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c1,838$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.622,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under40c1,236$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.563,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over52c1,152$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.9557650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under49c1,066$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.3434851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,005$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.45,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over50c849.24$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.621,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c836.31$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.162,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Over52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2314152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over53c764.53$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.3356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under47c764.53$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.3316338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8651…6716backed Under42c603.31$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c536.61$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.051,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over76c434.45$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc4…3b29backed Over48c424.39$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.681553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbba5…7df2backed Under49c406.18$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under48c384.81$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.717843.6%34 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a36…65bdbacked Under49c352.84$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over52c345.75$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9639943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Under51c313.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under50c300.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under51c280$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.845646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c267.62$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.593,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4c…cec8backed Under51c267.19$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.27944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Under49c255.92$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-59.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c230.55$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.510144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c27…88f1backed Under49c177.39$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde2…3fcfbacked Over51c175.09$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.988956.2%50 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5142…ee20backed Under49c164.43$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.575354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Under49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Over51c161$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.045042%21 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under48c142.26$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.281,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd8…b939backed Under49c141.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under51c140$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.456547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1bf…45bdbacked Under11c136.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.751118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under12c130.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9110637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over52c127.48$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3518052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under49c121.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3a…4d28backed Under52c116.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.472055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Over51c115.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.724269%29 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under49c114.92$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3124946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under53c111.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.158450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8c…1977backed Under52c111.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.752055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ae…4ce9backed Under12c110.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over73c102.11$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.13,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5155533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9317…6e69backed Under52c98.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.452626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-44.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under49c98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0253945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb342…cc01backed Under52c97.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.721741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb431…b654backed Over49c94.54$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.221947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3453453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c91.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.943,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd410…bce5backed Over49c87.56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.661675%12 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+60%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x37d6…4c63backed Over49c84.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.181118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-61.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c9c…8c15backed Over50c82.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.251266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3555846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.734047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.757250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ef…16a6backed Under49c69.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under50c69.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under49c69.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0843544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under32c67.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2151438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under49c65.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3247852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under47c61.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461b…30ddbacked Over49c61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Under50c60.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010955%60 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d27…27e3backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Under49c59.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297256.9%41 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under48c58.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1648852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under49c57.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1621753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under49c57.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1617155.6%95 W · 76 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd8…f9e3backed Under49c57.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.166258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under48c49.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8160945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under49c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5229352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c2…cf66backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255841.4%24 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Under49c46.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Under49c46.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2315453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x666f…9860backed Under49c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.546055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe63d…0545backed Under49c45.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.534560%27 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.