NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb637b8cf0fdc91396281975cf88de06d5b8a94297af709f9e21678cb047c6d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,451 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 7,764$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 58c | 7,062$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,095 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 1,245$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 1,110$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 782.31$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.32 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 57c | 601.81$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.06 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 44c | 506.8$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.81 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 41c | 343.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.95 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9685…718ebacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Under | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 46c | 184.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…73d9backed Under | 58c | 169$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 39c | 151.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 54c | 143.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 42c | 128$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 61c | 124.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…7cefbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 55c | 97.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 39c | 95.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Under | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 55c | 86.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Under | 56c | 86.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 86.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 73c | 75.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 58c | 65.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 63c | 50.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 44.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 54c | 36.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…7defbacked Over | 47c | 35.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 42c | 31.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Over | 48c | 31.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Over | 42c | 29.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 27.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 40c | 27.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…72bebacked Under | 54c | 25.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…7c61backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 44c | 24.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Over | 48c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 78c | 17.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Pacers won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Pacers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.