TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbcc6…095f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.86
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.16
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$95.83
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$478.38
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$129.6
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.67
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.88
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$350.91
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$94.55
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.6
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$54.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.24
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$58.45
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.55
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$160.3
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.6
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.32
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.32
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$434.16
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$109.74
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$76.85
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.26
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT5947.5%28 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$40.87
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$137.8
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.24
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$17.98
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.6
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.79
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.24
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.6
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.72
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.1
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$42.24
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.48
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$26.23
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Maple Leafs vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.7
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.44
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.52
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.11
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.99
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.07
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.