NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x892acbcf4a284e923e2ff035f613e30e16d108970f26ed6345422ba9023ceb62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $362,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 53c | 178,074$94,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,300.62 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Spurs | 47c | 119,628$56,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,403 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Spurs | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,499.89 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Spurs | 47c | 45,000$21,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,850 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 48c | 19,666$9,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,226.35 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 33c | 15,738$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Thunder | 45c | 15,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.98 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Thunder | 52c | 10,717$5,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,573.01 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked Thunder | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 52c | 8,229$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 52c | 7,500$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 51c | 7,169$3,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,686.93 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 48c | 6,515$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.89 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Thunder | 53c | 4,400$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Spurs | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 35c | 3,674$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.07 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 39c | 3,410$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.72 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Spurs | 58c | 3,197$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.59 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 62c | 3,092$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.63 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Spurs | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 46c | 2,955$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.65 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spurs | 48c | 2,754$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.14 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Spurs | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 62c | 2,371$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.22 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 52c | 2,285$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.02 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,227$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.04 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 48c | 1,726$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.56 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Thunder | 53c | 1,675$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 47c | 1,580$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.78 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Thunder | 31c | 1,516$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.37 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Spurs | 64c | 1,418$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.99 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Spurs | 63c | 1,380$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.32 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder | 32c | 1,253$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.72 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Spurs | 67c | 1,221$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.81 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 36c | 1,170$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.94 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 30c | 1,169$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.74 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Spurs | 64c | 1,169$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.87 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,104$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.2 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…bf77backed Spurs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Thunder | 52c | 936.37$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.26 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs | 51c | 876.71$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.62 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Thunder | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Spurs | 47c | 764$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.92 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Thunder | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Spurs | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 52c | 725.3$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.34 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…8a37backed Thunder | 52c | 717.48$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.09 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 59c | 668.55$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.11 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Spurs | 62c | 645.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.65 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 62c | 624.18$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.19 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Thunder | 52c | 621$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.92 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Thunder | 53c | 614.21$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.53 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 51c | 604.54$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.56 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Thunder | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Spurs | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 34c | 529.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Thunder | 47c | 526.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 61c | 518$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.77 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed Thunder | 44c | 500$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Spurs | 48c | 473.92$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…1a39backed Spurs | 62c | 459.68$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Spurs | 63c | 442$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…f497backed Spurs | 50c | 407.49$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 49c | 405.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Thunder | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Thunder | 50c | 390$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…8432backed Spurs | 56c | 383.93$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.93 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Thunder | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Thunder | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Spurs | 47c | 360$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs | 64c | 360$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Spurs | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Thunder | 52c | 330.85$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.04 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 52c | 324$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.87 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Spurs | 63c | 310.14$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Spurs | 68c | 302.94$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…b244backed Thunder | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Thunder | 32c | 298$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Spurs | 58c | 296$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Spurs | 47c | 284$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.52 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Spurs | 48c | 263.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Thunder | 29c | 260$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Thunder | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Thunder | 43c | 232.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Thunder | 53c | 230.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs | 65c | 229$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Spurs | 48c | 222.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…f975backed Thunder | 53c | 219.63$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed Spurs | 49c | 219.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked Thunder | 24c | 216$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Thunder | 35c | 215.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 46c | 215.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Thunder | 36c | 210.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…4f61backed Spurs | 48c | 206.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs | 66c | 201.51$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Thunder | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…0879backed Spurs | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.