NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd130e4016289cc459da226d9f255f900f67e44a96cc07db9d4fbd12814afc0be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Spurs | 76c | 130,585$99,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,562.19 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Thunder | 24c | 70,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,800 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Thunder | 24c | 35,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.98 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Thunder | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 76c | 7,943$6,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.17 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…8039backed Spurs | 77c | 7,423$5,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed Thunder | 25c | 6,800$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Thunder | 25c | 6,666$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.49 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55b6…09e2backed Spurs | 76c | 5,461$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.79 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Thunder | 24c | 4,166$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 24c | 2,407$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.55 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 5c | 2,105$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 17c | 2,019$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 24c | 1,600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Thunder | 26c | 1,347$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Spurs | 76c | 1,168$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.31 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spurs | 76c | 1,145$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.74 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Thunder | 4c | 1,088$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Thunder | 11c | 1,044$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Thunder | 24c | 986.03$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.58 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Thunder | 26c | 974.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 23c | 930.68$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Thunder | 24c | 817.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.46 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 12c | 814.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Thunder | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Thunder | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…db39backed Thunder | 15c | 636.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Thunder | 23c | 533.73$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed Spurs | 76c | 486.84$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked Thunder | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Thunder | 8c | 372.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Spurs | 77c | 324.09$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 24c | 250.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Spurs | 76c | 243.86$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Thunder | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4596…12d5backed Spurs | 78c | 231.4$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Spurs | 75c | 200.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked Spurs | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Thunder | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…e652backed Thunder | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Thunder | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Thunder | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed Thunder | 26c | 194.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…1184backed Thunder | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Spurs | 80c | 179.38$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spurs | 76c | 151.05$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 25c | 142.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…87adbacked Spurs | 76c | 140.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…f228backed Spurs | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…3cccbacked Spurs | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Thunder | 25c | 124.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Thunder | 25c | 120.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Thunder | 24c | 108.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Thunder | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b31…b2a3backed Thunder | 25c | 101.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Thunder | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Spurs | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 25c | 97.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a48…7bbebacked Thunder | 26c | 77.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76e…36e1backed Thunder | 26c | 73.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…1d42backed Thunder | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e22…c00dbacked Thunder | 25c | 70.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…cabbbacked Spurs | 76c | 65.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Spurs | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Spurs | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Spurs | 76c | 65.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Thunder | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…5899backed Spurs | 77c | 59.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50b…6cc6backed Thunder | 24c | 55.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Thunder | 26c | 50.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Thunder | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…8581backed Thunder | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…1ecfbacked Thunder | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Thunder | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Thunder | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1f…313ebacked Spurs | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…eab5backed Spurs | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f4…b8b0backed Spurs | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Spurs | 77c | 25.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Spurs | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Spurs | 77c | 18.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…cba9backed Spurs | 75c | 17.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…d9c4backed Spurs | 78c | 13.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.