NBA · resolved market
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ba07f0d5f19787b1ee2a76804799058ae935df32eda5d967c8cd10ccaaa739e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 52c | 1,709$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.7 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 48c | 1,169$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.84 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed No | 50c | 980$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 147 | 31.3%46 W · 101 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 54c | 737.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 46c | 650$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf179…845dbacked Yes | 56c | 481.64$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac3…c24bbacked No | 48c | 459.21$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…25f9backed Yes | 50c | 344$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Yes | 50c | 319$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes | 48c | 298.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Yes | 52c | 243.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked No | 51c | 230$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked No | 45c | 199.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 50c | 180.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x872b…a9c3backed Yes | 56c | 176.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 45c | 140.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 52c | 137.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 133.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…13abbacked No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b24…de70backed No | 51c | 95.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 55c | 88.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Yes | 32c | 79.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…c14abacked No | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked No | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…aff0backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 43c | 62.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed No | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…9248backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 64c | 44.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…4b11backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…479ebacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6379…04ebbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…adb1backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d84…7fc0backed No | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…13a2backed Yes | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 74cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 50c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…41d2backed No | 52c | 28.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…531fbacked No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 56c | 23.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…bf9dbacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…a2e5backed No | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0525…c737backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa381…2c42backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…a110backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.