TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0525…c737

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5651.8%29 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.91
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$28.19
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$14.93
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.47
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$35.43
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$47.33
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$19.48
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+305.2%+$257.91
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.7
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.02
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+126.1%+$54.22
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23.86
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$35.45
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$26.89
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.09
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$26.9
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+196.7%+$27.54
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.34
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+79%+$23.69
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$33.45
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$15.83
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.82
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Wimbledon ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Alexander Bublikbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Jones (+1.5)backed Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18.56
Wimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguetbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderibacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$40.71
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$26.93
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+61.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+369.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+369.5%+$53.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$35.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.