TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,676 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa1fb…54d0backed Over69c57,764$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,763.98875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under31c50,142$15,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,431.7215644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under31c19,517$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,985.123737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under26c17,692$4,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,551.2156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55b6…09e2backed Over69c15,013$10,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,639.545158.8%30 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Over75c14,752$11,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,687.913100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under2c10,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under2c9,900$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.991,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under11c9,544$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.588,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under28c5,946$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.2264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Under30c5,800$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under25c4,706$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.571,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Over70c4,555$3,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.476048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under32c4,134$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.996445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under31c4,050$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.3595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8081…95cabacked Under21c3,646$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.081711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under30c3,400$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0341,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under30c3,382$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.241,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under32c3,297$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.031,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over76c3,292$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.4352461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Over69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9302653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed Under31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9302236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed Over69c2,815$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.599354.8%51 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under31c2,473$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.861,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under31c2,002$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.8912451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over77c1,939$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.381,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under8c1,816$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.719548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Over70c1,364$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under10c1,269$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8827937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over77c1,230$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.3436243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Over71c1,183$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.442268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+75.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under31c1,101$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.3747354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over69c1,023$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.9813759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under31c937.74$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under31c733.23$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9129243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b58…c9c8backed Over68c699.98$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.991376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+72%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over73c686.26$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2621574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over73c665.42$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.872259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Under30c628.51$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.553455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Over77c581.04$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.643158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over69c520.91$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9133258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under32c487$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.82,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Under32c461.09$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.556541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8740…6facbacked Over68c459.99$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.21717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5076…e15dbacked Over69c428.91$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.963145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Over69c422.35$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.93875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2716…f658backed Under23c414.57$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f2…2a5dbacked Over69c405.8$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.82842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over70c345.29$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.756,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb4…c08dbacked Over67c337.66$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.431457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Over69c308.45$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5412454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Under32c306.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Over69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8644052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under5c288.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.382326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb29c…8acabacked Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9736…43c7backed Over70c285.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.163754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under23c277.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.221849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under21c267.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4221046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under21c266$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7855751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Over71c262.23$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.833100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under28c249.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7085449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee2d…ba67backed Over69c217.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.233865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x453c…b749backed Under10c214.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over70c207.14$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1410861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked Over69c201.87$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.588155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f1…35f8backed Over75c200.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.275763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over70c179.01$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.711261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Over53c169.86$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.836141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9462…4dbdbacked Under9c166.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+381.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over74c155.42$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a5…5abfbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…48a5backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8561…936ebacked Over69c144$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.64862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Over70c142.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.975100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9926…5d2cbacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.865352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-54.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28f…6d18backed Over71c140.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03a0…ff20backed Over70c139.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.981855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under11c135.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7325944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over69c131.88$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.884560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under30c122.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7311239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over67c110$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.71931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Over74c101$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.261942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over71c101$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316150.8%31 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc949…f6e4backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.714446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over60c92$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3680440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over60c92$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Under33c88.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.012653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over67c86.96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.732654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc03a…a7bdbacked Over71c85.7$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.852657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7961…a812backed Over70c82.79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.841369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.