NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a126637be329f7436f3d0b5d1d0c8e9719654a65c159049d52e3e80899b2cc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1fb…54d0backed Over | 69c | 57,764$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,763.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 31c | 50,142$15,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,431.72 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 31c | 19,517$5,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,985.12 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 26c | 17,692$4,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,551.21 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b6…09e2backed Over | 69c | 15,013$10,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.54 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Over | 75c | 14,752$11,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,687.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 2c | 9,900$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 11c | 9,544$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 28c | 5,946$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.22 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Under | 30c | 5,800$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 25c | 4,706$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.57 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Over | 70c | 4,555$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.47 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 32c | 4,134$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.99 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 31c | 4,050$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.35 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Under | 21c | 3,646$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.08 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 30c | 3,400$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 30c | 3,382$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.24 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 32c | 3,297$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.03 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 76c | 3,292$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.43 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Over | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Under | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Over | 69c | 2,815$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.59 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 31c | 2,473$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.86 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Under | 31c | 2,002$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.89 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 77c | 1,939$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.38 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 8c | 1,816$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Over | 70c | 1,364$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 10c | 1,269$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 77c | 1,230$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.34 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…0b34backed Over | 71c | 1,183$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.44 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 31c | 1,101$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.37 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 69c | 1,023$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.98 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 31c | 937.74$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 31c | 733.23$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.91 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…c9c8backed Over | 68c | 699.98$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 73c | 686.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.26 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 73c | 665.42$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.87 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Under | 30c | 628.51$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Over | 77c | 581.04$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 69c | 520.91$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.91 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 32c | 487$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Under | 32c | 461.09$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…6facbacked Over | 68c | 459.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Over | 69c | 428.91$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Over | 69c | 422.35$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2716…f658backed Under | 23c | 414.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f2…2a5dbacked Over | 69c | 405.8$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 70c | 345.29$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…c08dbacked Over | 67c | 337.66$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Over | 69c | 308.45$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Under | 32c | 306.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Over | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under | 5c | 288.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8acabacked Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9736…43c7backed Over | 70c | 285.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 23c | 277.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 21c | 267.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 21c | 266$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Over | 71c | 262.23$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…ba67backed Over | 69c | 217.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Under | 10c | 214.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 70c | 207.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Over | 69c | 201.87$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…35f8backed Over | 75c | 200.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 70c | 179.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Over | 53c | 169.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9462…4dbdbacked Under | 9c | 166.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +381.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 74c | 155.42$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…5abfbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…48a5backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…936ebacked Over | 69c | 144$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Over | 70c | 142.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9926…5d2cbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…6d18backed Over | 71c | 140.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…ff20backed Over | 70c | 139.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 11c | 135.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 69c | 131.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 30c | 122.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 67c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Over | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 71c | 101$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…f6e4backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 60c | 92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 60c | 92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Under | 33c | 88.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 67c | 86.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…a7bdbacked Over | 71c | 85.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…a812backed Over | 70c | 82.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.