TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x13a9…e573backed No57c199.99$114 inWon+$8612347.2%58 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2055…4542backed Yes43c89.57$39 inLost-$38.5223130.3%70 W · 161 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2612…0eabbacked Yes36c75.15$27 inLost-$27633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…44bcbacked Yes34c70$24 inLost-$23.91526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac2a…4543backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No55c44.64$25 inWon+$20.0943752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No58c44.61$26 inWon+$18.9153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No77c32.85$25 inWon+$7.4842842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Yes44c32$14 inLost-$14.085836.2%21 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked No60c24.88$15 inWon+$9.9522756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No49c24.63$12 inWon+$12.5333049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No60c24.5$15 inWon+$9.71,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No77c15$11 inWon+$3.5330842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.