TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$349,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$356,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c69,187$38,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,405.5284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c42,441$19,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,926.1169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c36,204$16,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,764.8455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Under46c30,000$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,799.948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under48c15,664$7,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,580.5464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c15,620$7,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,574.741,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over55c15,208$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,807.9224159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under46c9,500$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,369.9786641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Over54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.2611654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over57c8,432$4,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,667.1293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c8,060$4,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.72,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under47c6,468$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,010.1523742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c5,997$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.1752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6111…4742backed Over54c5,920$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,723.281471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c5,600$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,68818445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over52c5,400$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,59227549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40056843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over41c4,722$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.0410146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c4,499$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.172,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Under8c4,201$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.05147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-90.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c9…cf56backed Over57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5051866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over66c3,434$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.4989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c2,885$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.51,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Under24c2,831$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.552245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over55c2,587$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.135358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over51c2,560$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.6852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1505657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over58c2,489$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.012,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over53c2,455$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.2126131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over52c2,368$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.9719959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over52c2,278$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over51c2,195$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.5517744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over51c2,158$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.5550346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over52c2,115$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.385160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under45c2,104$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.452,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over63c2,072$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.2352461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Over54c2,063$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.436055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under48c1,913$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.4117250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over62c1,759$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.421,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over51c1,626$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.044463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x254b…e8abbacked Over52c1,562$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under30c1,390$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.8242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c1,387$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.6689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8854…0d9cbacked Over54c1,381$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.121442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c1,375$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under48c1,303$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.6418651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under45c1,247$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.6168944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under47c1,236$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.671,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over52c1,227$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.96875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+42.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c1,122$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.782,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Under1c1,112$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2480%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under43c1,100$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47345146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over52c1,067$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.3121957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under48c1,060$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.812146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Over54c1,046$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.34540%18 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under44c1,017$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.522441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under46c1,014$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.445937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Over52c1,005$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.562065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over51c979.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.5318557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.548844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ef…9a9fbacked Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over52c961.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5338946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over50c956.69$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.8836051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ea…639abacked Over55c892.6$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.271952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over54c886$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.481,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c868.52$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under42c856.61$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.032,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under47c772.64$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.0717247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa13b…60c0backed Over78c764.54$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.542378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+53.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over59c737.65$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.8520353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under40c732.19$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under32c672.64$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over60c656.21$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.2225045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c626.98$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.951,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under48c621.2$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1814148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over55c616.04$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.224560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Over56c594.84$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8229547.5%140 W · 155 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under48c593.57$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9146959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under45c582.6$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.171,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Under41c574.76$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.3915744.6%70 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over52c551.36$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.3921953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.452556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under36c526.21$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.136152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over55c519$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.554047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over55c516$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24047948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over55c492.12$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1860250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…ed3dbacked Over52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.772347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2534…3484backed Under6c452.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under50c432.62$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2832045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under7c428$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9616429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under48c402.61$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.