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NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Thunder56c4,500$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.9450346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs43c2,679$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.8618651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs43c1,857$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.5811333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs43c1,763$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.541,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce0d…ca2cbacked Thunder57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Spurs75c1,266$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.1513464.2%86 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Spurs45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1111440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Spurs44c1,091$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.914560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Thunder56c1,071$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab71…2adabacked Spurs45c994.49$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder56c955.5$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.462,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Thunder26c859.3$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.651,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder59c848.84$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Thunder39c776.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Spurs64c737.78$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3420353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Thunder57c726.47$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Thunder41c696$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.894050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Spurs45c662.87$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.585058%29 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Thunder31c638.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013429.9%40 W · 94 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs75c617.94$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs44c459.98$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5912146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Spurs45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.443836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs44c406.27$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbac2…727bbacked Thunder57c351$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.072536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs65c320.92$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3730842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Spurs44c318.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1821950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad5…0914backed Spurs44c309.64$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+129.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Spurs43c238.19$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7719959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Thunder56c201.63$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.915040%20 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Thunder32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645538.2%21 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs76c197$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.281,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed Thunder56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Thunder57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Spurs45c152.67$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.973366.7%22 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs43c150.1$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Spurs58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Thunder57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Thunder57c119.84$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.313174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Thunder55c116.14$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.882,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe42…30fbbacked Thunder28c113.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef3…9995backed Spurs45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Spurs45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1142740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1074…a25dbacked Spurs44c109.05$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.07560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2055…4542backed Spurs44c104.55$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5523130.3%70 W · 161 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9288…be38backed Thunder57c96.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Thunder41c91.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.352931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe665…79bbbacked Thunder57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed Thunder57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed Thunder57c86.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Thunder51c86.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2453134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Spurs50c80.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.124965.3%32 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Thunder57c79.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2636247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder16c76.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Spurs43c70$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.927942.7%119 W · 160 L-14.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked Spurs71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.34057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed Spurs44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.182356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe465…7f38backed Thunder30c67.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+68.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Spurs45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.673455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a7a…c68dbacked Thunder57c66.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02e0…3741backed Spurs45c65.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.142138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Thunder39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256524.6%16 W · 49 L-11.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Thunder25c63.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8214940.3%60 W · 89 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5345…666abacked Thunder54c62.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.666942%29 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…07aebacked Thunder35c61.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.373036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78b…5c76backed Thunder58c60.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355736.8%21 W · 36 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xceaa…0811backed Thunder57c56.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.292254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Spurs69c56.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.523467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs56c51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Spurs44c50.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4858754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68f…6fdfbacked Thunder34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174936.7%18 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Spurs67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Spurs44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2814448.6%70 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Spurs71c46.27$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5715663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Spurs67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.856152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Spurs78c43.59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5421849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Spurs69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4845542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x970f…f167backed Spurs45c42.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.225556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2030…e89cbacked Spurs44c40.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.883743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3199…2edabacked Thunder56c40.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.881631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f05…1242backed Thunder57c40.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Spurs78c38.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.497561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x746b…ae65backed Thunder58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Spurs44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.096947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Spurs54c33.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6326639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs66c30.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.411,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Thunder36c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810150.5%51 W · 50 L+10.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Spurs64c29.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Spurs44c27.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.277437.8%28 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3339…3492backed Spurs44c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Spurs72c25.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0633556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a8fcbacked Spurs45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.751936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Thunder57c23.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3322756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb549…ae63backed Thunder57c20.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.782040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7379…7b1fbacked Spurs80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.