TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1074…a25d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.44
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.26
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.88
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.89
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.08
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$116.75
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.99
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$111.05
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twinsbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.21
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.56
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.29
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$76.36
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.89
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$46.61
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$97.87
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Ruud vs. Paul: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$59.82
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.53
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.85
Minaur vs. Mensik: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.15
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Jongbacked Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.82
Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Boulter (+1.5)backed Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Roland Garros WTA: Katie Boulter vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.81
Kosice: Jay Clarke vs Milos Karolbacked Milos Karol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+154.7%+$43.32
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$41.24
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$140.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$33.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.