Tennis · resolved market
Ruud vs. Paul: Match O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cd29781c9b66ea9facea694bb0fba06c80b67e4beea5901a564330b58f22aea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 10,567$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.67 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 56c | 8,931$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.18 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 56c | 2,861$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.29 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 44c | 999.95$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 45c | 925.73$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.58 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 918.99$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.49 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 765$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 45c | 695.4$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.93 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Over | 55c | 618.18$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.18 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 56c | 599.95$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.98 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Over | 55c | 449.94$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.47 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 46c | 249.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Under | 44c | 222.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 44c | 216.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 45c | 190.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over | 54c | 184.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 56c | 176.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Over | 56c | 169.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1074…a25dbacked Over | 55c | 131.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 56c | 121.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 47c | 113.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 56c | 88.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 46c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 69.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…94d6backed Over | 54c | 68.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 45c | 53.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 143 | 60.1%86 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…6323backed Under | 45c | 52.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Under | 45c | 49.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…f3a9backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 56c | 32.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…700cbacked Over | 56c | 23.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ruud vs. Paul: Match O/U 36.5this page
- Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy PaulCasper Ruud won
- Ruud vs. Paul: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs PaulPaul won
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)Paul won
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Paul (+2.5)Paul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.