TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7bf…b02d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
804
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT59165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 591 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
National Bank Open: Mariano Navone vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.89
National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Canadian Open: Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$64.33
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canadian Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debrubacked Gabriel Debru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Canadian Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicakbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmanebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Generali Open: Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Showing 25 of 591 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT7468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$168
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$666.67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,333.33
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$612.78
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$49.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$345.87
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$985
Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$699.82
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,840.34
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,479.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$515.15
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,364.71
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$77
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$203
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$136
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105.43
LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.19
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$54.25
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$112.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.6%+$114.41
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$250
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$153
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+101%+$150.72
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.4%+$98.73
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$84.62
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$280
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2572%18 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$346.02
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.3
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$287
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$283.8
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$330
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$79.75
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+28.2%+$141.03
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+26.6%+$161.35
Will Spain win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Will France win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,536Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$845.33
Will Netherlands win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$144.83
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$96
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$264.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$2,511.94
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$273.61
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$149.35
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,670
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$300
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,999Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$1,347.38
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$278.97
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$377
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$309.09
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$443.84
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$18.28
Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.67
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$69.17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+37%+$110.96
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$428.57
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$125
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$126.21
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$689
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+48.9%+$231.6
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$408.45
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+244.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+589.7%+$342
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefgbacked TheGrefg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$37.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$9.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$165
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.