Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7314310e5b898e67091251b0c41d351d2c8822fceefd13eecbf5a2c702976a0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,205,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,278,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,205,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 712 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 73c | 102,094$74,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,342.38 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 27c | 95,887$25,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,410.08 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 80,831$11,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,886.73 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 26c | 60,709$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,900.02 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 72c | 52,124$37,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,423.48 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 27c | 46,686$12,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,471.98 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 34,985$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.89 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 28c | 34,000$9,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,559.95 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed No | 28c | 27,197$7,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,669.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 29c | 27,083$7,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,773.9 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 74c | 22,766$16,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,009.14 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 28c | 21,420$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997.59 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 28c | 19,952$5,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,586.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 70c | 18,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 26c | 13,500$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.98 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 3c | 11,205$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.1 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 28c | 10,500$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc675…2ff3backed No | 28c | 9,829$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 28c | 9,474$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.66 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Yes | 74c | 9,186$6,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.35 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 28c | 8,590$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.2 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 28c | 8,314$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.02 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 25c | 8,100$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.99 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…68ffbacked No | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 3c | 7,789$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No | 28c | 7,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 73c | 6,878$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.98 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 73c | 6,300$4,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.93 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 26c | 5,615$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.06 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 27c | 5,556$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…a16bbacked Yes | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa829…bc90backed No | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 27c | 4,800$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 27c | 4,400$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.98 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 26c | 4,175$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.57 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 14c | 4,147$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.87 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 28c | 4,121$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.01 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.59 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 17c | 3,765$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.33 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes | 72c | 3,686$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 29c | 3,600$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.95 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…e705backed Yes | 70c | 3,554$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 74c | 3,378$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 6c | 3,341$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.02 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…292ebacked No | 30c | 3,300$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 80c | 3,293$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.58 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 30c | 3,150$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 2,975$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.77 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 27c | 2,967$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.42 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…d0abbacked Yes | 74c | 2,572$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 25c | 2,158$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.12 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 28c | 2,130$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.47 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…c755backed Yes | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…c75bbacked Yes | 75c | 2,005$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 30c | 1,995$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a3…bd26backed Yes | 70c | 1,912$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…1d71backed Yes | 73c | 1,700$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,698$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.36 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Yes | 71c | 1,676$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 28c | 1,650$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.91 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 71c | 1,571$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.55 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes | 72c | 1,503$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 29c | 1,448$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.95 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes | 74c | 1,419$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb0…d24fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,411$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked No | 28c | 1,389$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed No | 31c | 1,381$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b98…d5d8backed Yes | 71c | 1,350$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…0ce0backed Yes | 74c | 1,160$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,093$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.55 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 72c | 1,060$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.39 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,051$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…2cd5backed No | 12c | 1,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 28c | 999.9$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…6cc6backed No | 31c | 970$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.42per pick | 52cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 13c | 957.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.