Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-27?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ad7b9bd4426d3e4a9986a5682d4880daf0c2a7d964b515e41b4d6556c525606

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 27, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $179,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $152,732

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,751 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x64b5…7543backed Yes	10c	18,143$1,813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,813.19	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	7c	15,692$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.45	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	11c	8,731$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.82	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes	10c	7,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.99	241	46.9%113 W · 128 L	+21.1wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	9c	5,548$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.81	178	33.7%60 W · 118 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3c…324fbacked Yes	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes	1c	4,880$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.45	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes	9c	4,087$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.83	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	11c	4,050$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.5	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	11c	4,025$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.75	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…f1abbacked Yes	1c	3,424$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.16	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	3cpaid	+95.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5822…629cbacked Yes	10c	3,191$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes	2c	3,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes	9c	2,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2909…ba8bbacked Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	157	48.4%76 W · 81 L	+13.8wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+24%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes	11c	1,485$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.31	141	47.5%67 W · 74 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	2c	1,211$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.91	253	29.2%74 W · 179 L	+11.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes	3c	1,074$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.97	423	24.3%103 W · 320 L	-36.4wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-47%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes	2c	1,008$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.13	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	103	45.6%47 W · 56 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d31…75d9backed Yes	3c	714.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes	9c	699.55$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.96	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes	9c	666.67$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	9c	600$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Yes	11c	576.22$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.38	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a9a…c2bfbacked Yes	11c	521.64$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.38	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Yes	11c	509.09$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48d6…46a6backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	440	36.8%162 W · 278 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes	10c	499.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	185	51.9%96 W · 89 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes	10c	493.81$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.38	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2db…5546backed Yes	3c	485.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes	2c	466.9$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	104	33.7%35 W · 69 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes	11c	380$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes	12c	366.67$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.6	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf828…fca3backed Yes	8c	350$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b1…2146backed Yes	3c	337.05$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Yes	10c	320.86$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.09	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Yes	7c	303.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	324	53.1%172 W · 152 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes	5c	300$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	235	31.1%73 W · 162 L	-14.3wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes	11c	291.87$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.11	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb726…f90dbacked Yes	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes	6c	266.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	107	26.2%28 W · 79 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes	9c	250$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+6.0wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	360	36.1%130 W · 230 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…d867backed Yes	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0363…d67abacked Yes	5c	219.91$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	300	50.3%151 W · 149 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	34%18 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	233	25.8%60 W · 173 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5694…6052backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	153	50.3%77 W · 76 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes	6c	190.44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	130	33.1%43 W · 87 L	-11.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	35cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb767…c0ffbacked Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes	12c	172.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes	9c	168.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes	10c	160$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes	12c	149.82$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.75	331	24.2%80 W · 251 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes	10c	118.1$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd25…01aebacked Yes	12c	108.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de5…b52fbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+55%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	133	37.6%50 W · 83 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes	11c	99.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Yes	12c	91.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+5.2wins	+0.17per pick	35cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
Will Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?No won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-27?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event