TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0363…d67a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5437%20 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$54.06
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$638.22
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.58
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.52
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.32
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
Japan leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54.89
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$105.69
Spread: Japan (-2.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+525%+$129.25
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$41.69
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$34.72
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.28
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+1,116.9%+$167.54
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.59
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+91.2%+$31.31
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$8.87
Will Leicester City be relegated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Leicester win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will West Ham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.67
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.82
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.89
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$29.69
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.53
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)backed CR Vasco da Gama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.59
Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-2.5)backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.