TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$339,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$369,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc458…ef36backed No63c55,330$34,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,857.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc18e…9b16backed Yes37c46,180$17,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,093.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a5…192ebacked Yes37c39,240$14,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,721.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+100.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No63c37,790$23,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,911.156953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2499…c3cebacked No63c24,660$15,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,535.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes79c17,000$13,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,557.9820744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes35c14,994$5,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,696.339917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc164…5fcebacked No9c14,006$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.551618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No39c11,612$4,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,514.7579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6b…68eebacked No63c9,262$5,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,834.852454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Yes38c8,158$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,057.892556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No66c7,217$4,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,778.0113547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Yes35c7,014$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,553.552245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…395ebacked Yes37c6,478$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,051.123138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe425…6155backed Yes37c5,450$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,433.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3040…1287backed No63c5,450$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes37c5,254$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,294.4241437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005413%7 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ed…a702backed Yes37c4,500$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8352100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+160.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x913f…302dbacked No63c4,500$2,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,83510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No28c4,483$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.338645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes38c4,443$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,756.9811548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes64c3,593$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.492245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38e…8719backed No63c3,450$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes37c3,067$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.0369772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x79de…324dbacked No63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c44…91b6backed Yes37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8902100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+112.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.997652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Yes75c2,587$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.61560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes38c2,578$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.231540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f0…be32backed Yes52c2,409$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.423669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe941…4623backed Yes77c2,380$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0727…c055backed No63c1,980$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No36c1,870$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.3137652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes44c1,838$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.9112053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked No30c1,756$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.142642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No6c1,735$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.113910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes38c1,715$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.074829.2%14 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ff…6e4fbacked Yes37c1,600$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b58…f374backed No63c1,600$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Yes37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.156147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaae6…2b88backed Yes37c1,350$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x257c…2cfebacked No63c1,350$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes38c1,246$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.210445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No24c1,240$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29232037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes34c1,005$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.651,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9da7…a3f8backed No63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Yes79c999.98$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2054062.5%25 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes37c991.06$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.379111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes79c960.45$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.4514156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed No64c953.13$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6102142.9%9 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x9614…5247backed Yes37c942.7$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes36c909.16$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.8640046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes55c828.05$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.851844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3303…b5e3backed Yes32c824.25$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.494257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No46c805.55$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1414953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37627752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d67…1fa5backed Yes32c746$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes30c705.37$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.765558.2%32 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes56c700.07$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.1228070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes37c671.16$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.832240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes30c670$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4697835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No21c612$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8634251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37244939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes32c559$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.124445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No62c502$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.2483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed No10c500.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.993240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No62c499.98$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.995052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No63c477.98$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6817447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes37c450$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.56055%33 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No27c439.79$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2821445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x215d…dad3backed Yes32c410.63$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes38c342.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1122932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c1…b34bbacked Yes37c337.84$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No6c337$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2216851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No63c335.9$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6211454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x139b…2f75backed Yes73c328.87$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed No64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87a4…10a0backed Yes37c289.19$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.191618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc173…930bbacked Yes80c285.45$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.09366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes36c279.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1932737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes37c275$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.253256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf725…136abacked No17c270.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.061450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes32c228.13$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.133551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No63c212$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2652060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No62c202.78$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1818752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8232736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed No64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1288747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yes32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1362619.2%5 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x318a…360bbacked Yes38c184.21$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes33c161.94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.51747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked No63c159.7$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.225444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No64c159.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1715347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3025648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99ab…bc97backed Yes37c144.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d0…2811backed Yes37c135.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14be…e4bfbacked Yes37c135$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.05966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.