Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d80ee93bbd96867f0de257ebff9256f9824c24cdb19aa5e0d105723ffbf29c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb41b…95b2backed No | 73c | 153,000$111,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,310 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5796…d6d4backed Yes | 27c | 151,000$40,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,770 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ae…f0d4backed No | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0699…e325backed Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…7d58backed No | 74c | 9,993$7,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…e185backed Yes | 26c | 9,993$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 21c | 3,188$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.98 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 77c | 2,969$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.17 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 22c | 2,154$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.33 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 27c | 1,948$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 77c | 1,720$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.41 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Yes | 28c | 1,604$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 4c | 1,185$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 72c | 1,083$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.24 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 28c | 1,002$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…a755backed Yes | 27c | 995$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6623…789dbacked No | 73c | 765$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 28c | 721.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 72c | 670.9$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.85 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…235abacked Yes | 27c | 650$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 72c | 637.85$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.35 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 595$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…b413backed No | 73c | 575$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…dad3backed Yes | 28c | 408.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 388$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 26c | 378.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906d…34a4backed Yes | 27c | 335$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…e515backed No | 73c | 298.72$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…56debacked Yes | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 273.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8877…e6ccbacked No | 73c | 225$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 26c | 214.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…f8eabacked No | 73c | 195$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 72c | 142$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…d78cbacked No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yes | 16c | 119.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf02…3638backed No | 73c | 105$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…0df9backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes | 26c | 92.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 74c | 85.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…a802backed No | 73c | 75.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…8fd1backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…4fd5backed No | 74c | 64.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…4bc9backed Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 61.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 28c | 50.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 26c | 43.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 73c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…b64ebacked No | 74c | 14.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-21?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.