TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e5b…2b2d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
333
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT26155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 261 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.17
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.14
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$25.05
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,768Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$1,587.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$886.79
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$923.08
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: NRG Esports vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked NRG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+43%+$859.66
LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winnerbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$195.37
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,303Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,961.38
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,950Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,659.61
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.36
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,864Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$1,681.84
LoL: Maze Gaming vs Malvinas Gaming (BO5) - LRS Playoffsbacked Malvinas Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.49
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$483.69
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$851.85
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$276.56
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,040.82
Showing 25 of 261 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,878.05
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$369.86
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+46.4%+$46.38
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+78.9%+$15.78
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Padres vs. Piratesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Phillies vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.71
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$241.42
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Leicester vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Aston Villa vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$31.66
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Bournemouth vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Manchester City vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Tottenham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$9.25
Will Fulham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$137.34
Will Everton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Southampton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+25%+$9.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$42.54
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+246.2%+$246.16
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 16–23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,426Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$394.59
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+541.6%+$108.31
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.36
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 11–18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+56.6%+$195.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Barcelona vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$730.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.