NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x699233c6fb322a23527e7d71217d4fe8c1fc380de7b59ae69c3034cef9ebf334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Bucks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,484,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,755,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,484,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Bucks | 25c | 146,839$36,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,301.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…95b2backed Pacers | 76c | 146,000$110,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,039.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e3…1ef5backed Bucks | 24c | 144,000$34,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…486ebacked Bucks | 0c | 110,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Pacers | 57c | 92,247$52,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,107.44 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Bucks | 23c | 88,888$20,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,444.17 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Pacers | 76c | 66,281$50,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,728.05 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Pacers | 77c | 56,755$43,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,331.84 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 49c | 52,212$25,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,407.2 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Bucks | 24c | 52,000$12,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,480 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Pacers | 77c | 50,911$39,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,709.64 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers | 45c | 50,298$22,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,536.25 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers | 76c | 42,010$31,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,202.5 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Pacers | 60c | 37,728$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,927.87 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Bucks | 36c | 25,640$9,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,307.88 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bucks | 53c | 21,458$11,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,321.56 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Pacers | 61c | 21,408$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,408.41 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers | 39c | 16,042$6,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,848.45 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Pacers | 46c | 15,374$7,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,263.38 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Pacers | 53c | 14,401$7,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,802.31 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Pacers | 77c | 14,292$10,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.02 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pacers | 46c | 13,925$6,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,569.26 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pacers | 72c | 13,900$10,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.09 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pacers | 70c | 13,258$9,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.64 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Pacers | 49c | 12,977$6,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,648.03 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pacers | 76c | 11,450$8,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.98 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bucks | 55c | 11,332$6,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,285.75 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Pacers | 76c | 10,721$8,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.67 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Bucks | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…3f02backed Pacers | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…341dbacked Pacers | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pacers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…3718backed Bucks | 24c | 9,999$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd8…1ca9backed Pacers | 76c | 9,995$7,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…3f41backed Bucks | 24c | 9,990$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd616…1106backed Pacers | 45c | 9,658$4,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,264.87 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Bucks | 46c | 8,716$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 44c | 8,125$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.04 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…7bbebacked Pacers | 75c | 8,089$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 61c | 8,070$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.1 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Bucks | 33c | 7,953$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.6 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Bucks | 37c | 7,004$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.21 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Pacers | 72c | 6,737$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.47 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Pacers | 77c | 6,596$5,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.97 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Pacers | 60c | 6,572$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.89 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Pacers | 35c | 6,329$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.68 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Bucks | 32c | 6,278$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.73 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 42c | 6,235$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.03 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bucks | 25c | 6,232$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.99 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Pacers | 64c | 6,229$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.53 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Bucks | 24c | 6,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pacers | 76c | 6,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 54c | 5,756$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.78 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Pacers | 47c | 5,745$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.34 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Pacers | 69c | 5,662$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.86 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Pacers | 75c | 5,649$4,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.8 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Bucks | 22c | 5,550$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Bucks | 24c | 5,169$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.59 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Bucks | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Bucks | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 74c | 4,725$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.45 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers | 59c | 4,290$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.1 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Pacers | 55c | 4,087$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.62 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pacers | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Pacers | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Pacers | 77c | 3,896$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.1 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Bucks | 24c | 3,886$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.1 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers | 77c | 3,853$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.25 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Pacers | 77c | 3,640$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Pacers | 68c | 3,578$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.22 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Bucks | 23c | 3,380$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.33 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Bucks | 56c | 3,340$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.52 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Pacers | 52c | 3,059$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.17 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.01 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pacers | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pacers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Pacers | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Bucks | 33c | 2,998$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.87 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Pacers | 78c | 2,751$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.97 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Pacers | 44c | 2,666$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.47 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Pacers | 77c | 2,600$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.14 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Pacers | 76c | 2,531$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Bucks | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Pacers | 55c | 2,491$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pacers | 69c | 2,400$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.66 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Pacers | 69c | 2,352$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Pacers | 76c | 2,341$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.76 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Pacers | 75c | 2,320$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Pacers | 1c | 2,280$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.93 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Pacers | 65c | 2,148$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.16 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Bucks | 70c | 2,118$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.17 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Bucks | 56c | 2,005$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.34 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Pacers | 50c | 2,002$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Pacers | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…aa86backed Bucks | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Pacers | 75c | 1,970$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.5 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Bucks | 20c | 1,913$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.63 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Pacers | 76c | 1,897$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.28 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.