TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe877…bb43

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST6028.3%17 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,698.71
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14,996.32
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$7,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$7,998.08
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,997.84
Cardinals vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$7,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,158.96
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+150%+$1,500
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+148.6%+$743.04
Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$510.27
Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+143.9%+$719.51
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$256.09
Saints vs. Packersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$500
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$500
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+135.6%+$435.16
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+224.1%+$1,120.65
Falcons vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$1,118.57
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$200
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$758.54
Bengals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$1,600
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$1,522
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT3023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,865Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,980.45
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacksbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Phillies vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,066.42
White Sox vs. Raysbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+176.4%+$1,763.85
Royals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,215.21
Giants vs. Blue Jaysbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,000
Astros vs. Marinersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Yankees vs. Bravesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$1,041.03
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Red Sox vs. Cubsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Angels vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+204.8%+$4,096.06
Reds vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+158%+$3,950.89
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Yankees vs. Bravesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Royals vs. Marlinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Red Sox vs. Cubsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Diamondbacks vs. Angelsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Phillies vs. Padresbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Red Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Angels vs. Blue Jaysbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Yankees vs. Metsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Pirates vs. Marinersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,000
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19,992Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$18,367.12
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+284.8%+$5,696.51
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,000
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,329Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+105%+$6,648.03
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+218.8%+$437.66
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$408.45
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$500
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$1,500
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$2,000
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$896.56
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$300
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,653
Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,488.36
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$858Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$857.93
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,139
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$4,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,697.05
Was JFK assassination an inside job?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16,892Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,891.94
Was JFK assassinated by a foreign government? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+91.4%+$11,426.99
Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+143.5%+$14,345.29
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$500
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+125.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stanford vs. BYUbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Tulsa vs. New Mexico Statebacked Tulsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
UCLA vs. UNLVbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Arizona State vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+771.2%+$3,084.85
Tulane vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+157.5%+$2,363.1
All 5 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$5,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,569.83
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,850Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,850
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$958.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs. Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Fever vs Mercurybacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,001
Liberty vs Lynxbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$9,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,013.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump post about Sam Altman by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin go on Lex Fridman before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.