Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d930f65e1aff6d34f7b4d1b0073ee0ecc35a88b6277fa51f6bde34b41c45626
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,785,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,655,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,785,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 9c | 55,061$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.05 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 6c | 50,082$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.31 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 6c | 39,341$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.46 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 10c | 38,356$3,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,866.24 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83f…1527backed Yes | 2c | 31,470$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…a6a0backed Yes | 12c | 28,200$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 9c | 24,473$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.45 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Yes | 8c | 20,387$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 17,754$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 3c | 16,968$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.46 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Yes | 14c | 15,502$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.4 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Yes | 8c | 14,719$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes | 4c | 14,678$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 80c | 14,128$11,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.17 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Yes | 15c | 13,760$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 14c | 12,318$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.6 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…cffcbacked Yes | 27c | 11,348$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 8c | 10,991$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.32 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 9c | 10,852$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.81 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5573…41bdbacked Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 6c | 8,825$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.32 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 8c | 8,033$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 2c | 8,027$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.93 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…2010backed Yes | 13c | 7,498$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 8c | 7,492$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.74 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…a4e7backed Yes | 8c | 7,454$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…b114backed Yes | 17c | 7,096$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 14c | 7,058$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6612backed Yes | 9c | 6,998$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…7ad1backed Yes | 9c | 6,989$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 7c | 6,813$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.4 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…b618backed Yes | 10c | 6,324$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 1c | 6,151$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 10c | 6,000$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.16 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…32c3backed Yes | 7c | 5,942$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e66…5e7fbacked Yes | 8c | 5,800$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…84d7backed Yes | 9c | 5,740$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…e62abacked Yes | 9c | 5,415$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…a820backed Yes | 11c | 5,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 6c | 5,177$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.82 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…b3a4backed Yes | 11c | 5,100$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.1 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 4c | 4,934$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Yes | 11c | 4,400$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.32 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…d678backed Yes | 8c | 4,270$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Yes | 8c | 4,196$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…441dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,085$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…c448backed Yes | 2c | 4,060$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 16c | 4,017$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.59 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…4783backed Yes | 10c | 4,006$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 78c | 4,000$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…a6d8backed Yes | 6c | 3,972$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.96 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…0dcabacked Yes | 1c | 3,966$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…5afdbacked Yes | 15c | 3,870$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.85 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 20c | 3,782$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.4 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed Yes | 14c | 3,765$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x458b…a46dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,546$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1795…8e9fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,510$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…4f10backed Yes | 15c | 3,423$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Yes | 7c | 3,332$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,307$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.38 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…86d5backed Yes | 6c | 3,275$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 4c | 3,242$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 12c | 3,224$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.46 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…9f53backed Yes | 10c | 3,087$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,022$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 15c | 3,000$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.28 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…a121backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…ed24backed Yes | 10c | 2,971$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…e7e5backed Yes | 9c | 2,828$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…c0f2backed Yes | 11c | 2,776$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.45 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 15c | 2,730$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.74 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5152…79a0backed Yes | 11c | 2,726$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…231ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,715$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…d8bcbacked Yes | 15c | 2,634$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 9c | 2,602$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.63 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 7c | 2,596$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.27 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…33ccbacked Yes | 8c | 2,594$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 16c | 2,573$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.05 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ff…c5ecbacked Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…dd1ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,464$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…b684backed Yes | 9c | 2,370$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8223…63cebacked Yes | 1c | 2,300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…6af4backed Yes | 6c | 2,220$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fe…0675backed Yes | 9c | 2,191$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…0489backed Yes | 9c | 2,189$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 10c | 2,152$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.76 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d05…b600backed Yes | 1c | 2,033$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 15c | 2,010$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…4816backed Yes | 11c | 2,009$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…195ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…67dbbacked No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,991$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 11c | 1,989$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.02 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…30a1backed Yes | 13c | 1,966$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.78 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…f92abacked Yes | 1c | 1,934$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.