TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1316…c716

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST2552%13 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: USC (-14.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Spread: Utah (-10.5)backed Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Spread: Indiana (-21.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
Spread: Georgia (-7.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.52
Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5)backed Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Spread: Ohio State (-18.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
Spread: Michigan (-14.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Spread: Oregon (-31.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Cincinnati (-3.5)backed Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
Spread: Iowa State (-2.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$51
Spread: Virginia (-10.5)backed Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: Georgia Tech (-17.5)backed Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-7.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
Spread: Indiana (-26.5)backed UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Ohio State (-25.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
Washington vs. Michiganbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Spread: LSU (-8.5)backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
Spread: Ohio State (-23.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5)backed Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$22
Spread: Penn State (-3.5)backed Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Georgia (-3.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: USC (-6.5)backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Navy vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$90
Will Georgia beat Tennessee?backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+108.3%+$52
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$78
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Spread: Colts (-14.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$73.5
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
Spread: Falcons (-6.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: Browns (-2.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$51
Spread: Packers (-14.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Spread: Steelers (-6.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$18
Falcons vs. Broncosbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$18
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+177.8%+$32
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Lions vs. Texansbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST+212.5%+$40.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick12cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$144.43
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.11
US forces in Venezuela by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$263.43
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.51
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$178
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.62
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$582.56
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.5
Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$401.22
Was JFK assassination an inside job?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.17
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+400%+$160
Will Ken Paxton be Trump's Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100.08
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+233.3%+$588
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+722.8%+$799.4
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$467.42
Will Trump nominate Thomas Massie for Agriculture Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$146
Will Trump nominate Ric Grenell for Secretary of State?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$355.62
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+150%+$16.62
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Spread: Everton (-0.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Spread: Chelsea (-0.5)backed Tottenham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Spread: Manchester United (-0.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Manchester City (-0.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.31
Spread: Bournemouth (-0.5)backed Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$51
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.42
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$114
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Barcelona (-2.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$55.12
Spread: Real Madrid (-2.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$19.5
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$25.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$155.7
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,316.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+163.2%+$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Inter Miami CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lisa Cook federally charged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Napoli (-0.5)backed Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.