Us Politics · resolved market
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84f234a88cc4f71f0d83fa8d4530dd30e9da4eb58af796d0f0e5d60d19ef2fbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,048,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,128,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,048,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 65c | 121,789$79,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,253.93 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 42c | 79,060$33,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,631.86 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 41c | 66,677$27,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,642.26 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 3c | 48,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed No | 37c | 36,157$13,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,322.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…b321backed Yes | 31c | 28,129$8,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,337.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…9df8backed No | 11c | 26,587$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…afc8backed No | 46c | 26,254$11,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,956.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 9c | 23,873$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.18 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 51c | 23,519$12,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,440.12 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…be8cbacked No | 0c | 23,093$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 45c | 22,222$9,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,306.63 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 24c | 20,931$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,930.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 69c | 20,797$14,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,264.4 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 74c | 19,637$14,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,545.2 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…975dbacked No | 45c | 19,481$8,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,793.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 17c | 18,462$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,406.48 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…dc57backed No | 56c | 16,776$9,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,451.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes | 45c | 15,729$7,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,719.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 32c | 15,722$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,712.56 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 57c | 15,469$8,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,741.13 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 20c | 15,251$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.69 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 48c | 15,011$7,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,851.11 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 21c | 14,756$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,668.53 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 43c | 14,568$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,277.78 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…781abacked Yes | 43c | 14,129$6,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,087.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 47c | 13,713$6,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,474.55 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…4f1ebacked No | 75c | 13,621$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed Yes | 49c | 13,479$6,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,923.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 13c | 12,963$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.1 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…64b6backed Yes | 27c | 12,821$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,421.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…a612backed No | 42c | 12,449$5,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,261.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 20c | 12,397$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,934.55 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6a…c597backed No | 2c | 11,748$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 77c | 11,646$8,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,940.86 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 56c | 11,501$6,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,459.86 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 74c | 11,278$8,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,352.05 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…6c07backed Yes | 17c | 11,174$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,301.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…703cbacked Yes | 23c | 10,668$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,167.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked Yes | 57c | 10,155$5,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.26 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…1138backed Yes | 32c | 10,000$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,836.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…0540backed Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 62c | 10,000$6,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,164.38 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 74c | 10,000$7,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,414.77 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…6c34backed Yes | 55c | 9,604$5,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,330.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 17c | 9,488$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,883.08 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…57f4backed Yes | 49c | 9,139$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,685.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…ed84backed Yes | 55c | 9,043$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 78c | 9,024$7,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,044.3 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…5e84backed No | 10c | 8,966$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…33ccbacked Yes | 64c | 8,908$5,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.96 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…620fbacked Yes | 54c | 8,570$4,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 47c | 8,334$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.1 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…d613backed No | 60c | 8,319$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed No | 66c | 8,262$5,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,456.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 63c | 8,070$5,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,122.52 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 52c | 8,000$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.57 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 66c | 7,565$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.36 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 54c | 7,073$3,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790.73 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…615fbacked No | 77c | 6,988$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…5e71backed No | 36c | 6,979$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a2…93f0backed No | 7c | 6,964$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Yes | 72c | 6,869$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.73 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…9fc2backed Yes | 43c | 6,863$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed Yes | 39c | 6,854$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179.69 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 18c | 6,808$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.3 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked No | 36c | 6,768$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ce…17dabacked Yes | 38c | 6,698$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed Yes | 76c | 6,506$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 31c | 6,493$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,465.44 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…24b8backed No | 56c | 6,322$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…b03fbacked No | 43c | 6,314$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3899…452ebacked Yes | 59c | 6,278$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed Yes | 59c | 6,214$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.85 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…b984backed No | 26c | 6,108$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.14 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked No | 52c | 6,063$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.66 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 21c | 6,054$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.08 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…983dbacked No | 35c | 5,990$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 42c | 5,980$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 37c | 5,797$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.31 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked Yes | 30c | 5,560$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.44 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…1183backed No | 47c | 5,546$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 80c | 5,500$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Yes | 43c | 5,361$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.76 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf478…aaa2backed No | 47c | 5,344$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…678bbacked No | 11c | 5,230$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked No | 52c | 4,998$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 75c | 4,885$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.06 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 46c | 4,789$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 63c | 4,778$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.93 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…4f21backed No | 34c | 4,776$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…a867backed Yes | 33c | 4,771$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 80c | 4,722$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.02 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 48c | 4,634$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.22 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…3ef2backed Yes | 47c | 4,620$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 52c | 4,593$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.48 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6934…9cfabacked No | 18c | 4,586$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 39c | 4,459$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.68 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…e030backed Yes | 68c | 4,378$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.