TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64a2…93f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$4.92
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs fnatic (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+45.2%+$6.78
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+53.7%+$7.79
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.44
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+50.2%+$12.55
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Lynn Vision (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+68.8%+$756.69
U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
US-China trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Will Trump cut military spending?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+80.8%+$16.16
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+494.1%+$98.82
Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+328.6%+$65.71
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$457.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Smith vs. Mingyangbacked Mingyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$492.71
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+93.7%+$38.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$76.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.