Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfbdc5331baaf33996d442f543f7c0fe3391dd067cecbb90899b8339e927d05c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,360,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,571,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,360,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,754 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 61c | 299,004$182,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,554.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…8734backed Yes | 53c | 143,655$76,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,254.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked No | 39c | 135,690$53,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,239 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…6d5ebacked No | 0c | 108,290$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…f19fbacked Yes | 46c | 106,818$49,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,318.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 61c | 104,492$64,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,255.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ba…9e00backed No | 63c | 99,805$62,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,679.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f13…801cbacked Yes | 33c | 85,868$28,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,191 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd276…b562backed Yes | 41c | 80,386$32,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,552.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…755fbacked No | 0c | 74,320$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 44c | 71,670$31,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,877.99 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…46a5backed Yes | 49c | 62,559$30,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,084.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…7ebbbacked Yes | 51c | 56,694$28,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,713.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…3739backed Yes | 36c | 55,166$20,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,061.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…fe63backed Yes | 28c | 51,133$14,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,815.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8096…f6a4backed No | 72c | 51,133$36,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,815.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…6338backed Yes | 53c | 35,576$18,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,777.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…0b85backed No | 57c | 30,721$17,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,510.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…a108backed Yes | 43c | 30,721$13,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,510.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3394…2373backed No | 62c | 29,456$18,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,262.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0b…1d34backed Yes | 38c | 29,456$11,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,262.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e46…e925backed No | 1c | 29,405$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked No | 42c | 29,330$12,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,199.41 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 42c | 28,070$11,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,833.1 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6a…e784backed Yes | 44c | 27,725$12,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,526 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b7…5400backed No | 56c | 27,725$15,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,526 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed No | 62c | 27,598$17,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,005.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed No | 51c | 26,445$13,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,436.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 44c | 25,785$11,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,355 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…c969backed Yes | 40c | 25,077$9,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,086.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…1ababacked Yes | 62c | 23,837$14,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,993.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…d81abacked Yes | 28c | 23,079$6,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,644.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6582…b3d2backed Yes | 54c | 22,168$12,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,114.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…2126backed No | 0c | 22,010$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 39c | 21,992$8,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,377.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 57c | 21,809$12,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,391.22 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…387ebacked Yes | 50c | 21,607$10,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,771.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 52c | 20,755$10,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,870.33 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…84bcbacked Yes | 75c | 20,609$15,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193.34 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…a144backed Yes | 44c | 20,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…c030backed Yes | 25c | 18,569$4,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,870.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +295.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 52c | 18,161$9,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,354.6 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…d95abacked Yes | 36c | 16,680$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,679.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…76babacked Yes | 61c | 16,367$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,366.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 44c | 16,232$7,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,124.72 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed No | 62c | 16,104$10,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,048.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 15,986$11,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,635.79 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed No | 68c | 15,507$10,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,491.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 54c | 15,365$8,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,320.68 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 34c | 15,254$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,057.45 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…f0a1backed No | 53c | 15,137$7,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,986.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…c31fbacked Yes | 33c | 14,764$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,895.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d0…3df9backed Yes | 35c | 14,702$5,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,509.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +183.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Yes | 53c | 14,673$7,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,957.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a97…9319backed No | 56c | 14,336$8,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,057.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 40c | 13,853$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,272.32 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…35a7backed No | 0c | 13,669$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…2408backed Yes | 37c | 13,501$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,509.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 75c | 13,461$10,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,107.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe162…8a81backed Yes | 41c | 13,063$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,760.89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…2f19backed Yes | 34c | 12,819$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,459.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…f3e3backed Yes | 43c | 12,671$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,171 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed No | 47c | 11,669$5,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437.93 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1765…a60bbacked Yes | 54c | 11,316$6,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c62…527bbacked Yes | 48c | 11,276$5,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,885.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…63b2backed Yes | 33c | 11,231$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,544.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…06d5backed Yes | 46c | 11,184$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,033.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…9f03backed No | 47c | 10,851$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 26c | 10,791$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.68 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…2220backed Yes | 24c | 10,589$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,024.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4872…a3eebacked Yes | 39c | 10,186$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,188.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…abd4backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…d60bbacked Yes | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…9211backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 55c | 10,000$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…eed6backed No | 58c | 10,000$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,749.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 45c | 9,851$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,393.21 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…b8febacked Yes | 54c | 9,281$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,281.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631b…62e1backed Yes | 54c | 9,170$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,243.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed No | 61c | 9,050$5,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,487.43 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…2727backed Yes | 40c | 9,031$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,418.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cda…608cbacked No | 0c | 9,012$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 27c | 8,665$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,344.2 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 37c | 8,632$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,236.26 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 42c | 8,608$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.84 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 50c | 8,504$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,255.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1675…a52abacked Yes | 37c | 8,497$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,329.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…bc54backed No | 72c | 8,230$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,915.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6095…b9fbbacked No | 58c | 8,097$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 49c | 8,086$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 47c | 8,000$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.74 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 48c | 7,929$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823.93 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…5c1dbacked Yes | 53c | 7,690$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 48c | 7,667$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.09 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f771backed No | 68c | 7,586$5,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,135.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…eaaabacked No | 45c | 7,581$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked No | 57c | 7,513$4,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,248.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…7ee2backed No | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 56c | 7,074$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.23 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?this page
- Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.