Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1af6d78e5269210bb1d332fc60806e4c4558dba9646713cb0d14d62ba4a5fb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $839,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $646,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $839,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6582…b3d2backed Yes | 43c | 70,022$29,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,783.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 64c | 65,735$42,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,373.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd905…7e95backed Yes | 24c | 41,047$9,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,982 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 11c | 30,545$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.49 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…3a8ebacked Yes | 19c | 24,185$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 8c | 22,778$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.78 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…96c7backed Yes | 32c | 17,981$5,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,840.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…bf48backed Yes | 23c | 17,783$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 7c | 15,556$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.27 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…d60bbacked Yes | 30c | 15,142$4,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,481.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 8c | 14,235$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.25 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22f…48b0backed Yes | 39c | 12,143$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,766.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Yes | 3c | 11,624$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…dd1dbacked Yes | 11c | 10,576$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 11c | 9,258$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c62…527bbacked Yes | 21c | 9,250$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 69c | 8,899$6,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…3ca1backed Yes | 19c | 8,516$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 15c | 8,380$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.94 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8dbdbacked Yes | 36c | 8,332$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 61c | 8,233$4,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.08 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 24c | 7,345$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 19c | 5,700$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed No | 72c | 5,391$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.41 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…0389backed Yes | 7c | 5,142$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 33c | 5,000$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.45 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 63c | 4,451$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.94 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 7c | 4,449$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 12c | 4,280$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.81 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…3c46backed Yes | 12c | 4,270$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 4,037$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…1d91backed Yes | 20c | 3,873$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,850$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 70c | 3,415$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 6c | 3,354$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.1 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,258$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2657…4af5backed No | 62c | 2,693$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3d…08a3backed Yes | 20c | 2,520$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…1d8cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,493$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +247.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 75c | 2,492$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.63 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 18c | 2,203$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 54c | 2,159$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.15 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1277…13d8backed Yes | 6c | 2,033$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 3c | 2,001$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed Yes | 9c | 1,997$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…b070backed Yes | 12c | 1,921$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 1c | 1,806$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 1,766$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 1c | 1,742$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…7aa6backed Yes | 18c | 1,713$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,619$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef6…0d9dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,587$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995d…404dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,504$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 19c | 1,472$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.32 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0f63…835abacked Yes | 31c | 1,428$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed Yes | 32c | 1,401$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.7 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 66c | 1,346$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.03 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,290$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.3 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 11c | 1,269$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.25 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yes | 20c | 1,253$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 1,225$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.95 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…62cabacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 5c | 1,143$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…36c3backed Yes | 18c | 1,119$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed No | 67c | 1,107$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.02 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaba…cbbebacked Yes | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 10c | 1,094$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,050$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.1 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.52 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…635cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa968…aa45backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9f…32b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 13c | 999.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…da06backed Yes | 14c | 997.14$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dc…528fbacked Yes | 14c | 992.29$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…290ebacked No | 76c | 990.63$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.88 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 9c | 950$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 13c | 924.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.81 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 902.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00b…7f8dbacked Yes | 19c | 896.51$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Yes | 33c | 882.84$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 6c | 860.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…efe6backed Yes | 11c | 841.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 12c | 800$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994c…429dbacked Yes | 12c | 777.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 24c | 771.8$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…c9e3backed Yes | 13c | 748.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…25b0backed Yes | 19c | 742.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 736.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.24 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 69c | 736.38$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.25 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…64fabacked Yes | 13c | 710$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…846fbacked Yes | 16c | 710$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?this page
- Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.