Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64c270948df4af160bef0af8716cf8a3bc84d5de6a6ea592575e4e374f308597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $858,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $893,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $858,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f2e…c544backed Yes | 19c | 39,878$7,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,692.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 36,545$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.11 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 4c | 27,759$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.08 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 3c | 25,715$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 24,774$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.24 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f2…146ebacked Yes | 4c | 23,343$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.65 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 19,956$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…2219backed Yes | 20c | 15,141$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 3c | 10,026$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.61 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 4c | 9,841$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.75 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07b4backed Yes | 5c | 9,428$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 6c | 7,579$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.26 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 5c | 6,742$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.23 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 5,718$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.38 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 5c | 5,710$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 10c | 5,671$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.05 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…d199backed Yes | 18c | 5,414$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…9687backed Yes | 6c | 5,148$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 7c | 4,056$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.19 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3877…4daabacked Yes | 8c | 3,915$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 6c | 3,579$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.76 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 7c | 3,508$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.08 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 3,267$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.85 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 7c | 2,861$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 4c | 2,613$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…7ebfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,536$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0e…10cebacked Yes | 6c | 2,449$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 16c | 2,409$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.39 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…2670backed Yes | 6c | 2,407$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 6c | 2,371$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.39 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 2,340$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fea…7375backed Yes | 5c | 2,212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 2c | 2,008$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 8c | 2,006$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…c642backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,902$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 15c | 1,900$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.17 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0773…3580backed Yes | 4c | 1,867$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…e211backed Yes | 17c | 1,806$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,767$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 15c | 1,752$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.28 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…12ebbacked Yes | 18c | 1,695$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 15c | 1,679$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.33 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…2e44backed Yes | 8c | 1,662$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…01aebacked Yes | 8c | 1,613$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,610$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…d087backed Yes | 7c | 1,566$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0981…26babacked Yes | 4c | 1,521$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 2c | 1,449$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,314$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…b19ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,308$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,295$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…4a83backed Yes | 9c | 1,293$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 1,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 5c | 1,221$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 1,215$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 6c | 1,206$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 2c | 1,189$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,144$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…f0bebacked Yes | 17c | 1,081$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes | 7c | 1,061$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…2456backed Yes | 13c | 1,058$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 13c | 1,017$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 1,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf056…87a8backed Yes | 17c | 953.49$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…b497backed Yes | 11c | 913.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed Yes | 5c | 904.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4766backed Yes | 11c | 901.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…e2c6backed Yes | 4c | 893.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c2…ab92backed Yes | 19c | 812.77$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…8f0dbacked Yes | 2c | 801$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 799.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…ab40backed Yes | 14c | 792.15$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Yes | 14c | 771.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc4…bb77backed Yes | 13c | 742.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9746…c31cbacked Yes | 4c | 724.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2b…867abacked Yes | 6c | 714.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…8e1cbacked Yes | 8c | 712.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…1e9abacked Yes | 14c | 694.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 4c | 684.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…c80fbacked Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e7…723ebacked Yes | 9c | 665.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 16c | 660$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…2697backed Yes | 5c | 622.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a2…9981backed Yes | 8c | 617.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 5c | 600$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed Yes | 9c | 570.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f79…30e1backed Yes | 7c | 556.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 5c | 550$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…1039backed Yes | 18c | 548.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 6c | 513.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 10c | 510$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…0a62backed Yes | 10c | 507.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…ae31backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x650d…c383backed Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 499.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?this page
- Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?No won
- Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.