TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a09…cdff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+266%+$2,386.38
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.74
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.85
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.56
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.8
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$80.37
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$54.44
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.88
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$68.78
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.78
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$162.41
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.38
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.34
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.72
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$84.83
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27%+$32.89
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.75
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.05
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$42.14
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$15.73
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$36.67
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+83.5%+$490.07
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed West Ham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fulham win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+97.4%+$129.52
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$121.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+60%+$240.29
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$76.34
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.85
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$129
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$601.44
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$218.57
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
All 11 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$70.14
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$30.38
All 5 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$94
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Cal State Fullerton Titansbacked Cal Poly Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
All 3 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$65.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport-Club Freiburg win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$48.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+26.1%+$31.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$381.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.