TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9027…4e9ebacked Over53c2,922$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5503557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Under48c1,192$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.996347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under46c829.5$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.931,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Under47c818.05$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.5712145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under50c781.94$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.9720855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under47c599.99$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce67…b508backed Over54c467.52$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.461553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x600f…4392backed Over50c341.23$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb020…d974backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014237.3%53 W · 89 L-18.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c248$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.481,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x290c…e651backed Over49c209$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee8b…8b15backed Over49c209$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x603a…d431backed Over49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c5…fb87backed Over49c203.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a26…b3abbacked Under51c203$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbba…e989backed Over49c201$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10612152.1%63 W · 58 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bf4…380fbacked Under51c197$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbea2…2d8fbacked Under51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa026…b33cbacked Under51c195$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x010d…d5d9backed Over49c192$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde94…5677backed Over49c188$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4090…2cb1backed Over49c182$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…1baebacked Over49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x726f…511ebacked Under51c177$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b28…d243backed Over49c176$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b3f…7a29backed Under51c175$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd39a…b9bfbacked Under51c173$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under46c168.25$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.54,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x205d…9dd1backed Under51c165$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf4a…fe32backed Under51c162$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Under50c139.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6313460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4499…d102backed Over51c129.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.31154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed Over52c126.42$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2210354.4%56 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d00…dd1ebacked Over53c115$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.25580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under51c109$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+57.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a09…cdffbacked Over50c104$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ac3…2ab9backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548250%41 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb3…f152backed Over52c91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3050…da3ebacked Under51c89.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.092334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over52c84.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.245455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8b…f0b0backed Under48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd19e…e997backed Over52c75.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.373040%12 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc1e0…559dbacked Over50c73.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under51c57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517050.6%86 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Over48c50.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4510956.9%62 W · 47 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x211f…da14backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd06…cb1cbacked Under49c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.483100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+211.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe71f…09f2backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed Over50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under45c42.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.241,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48d…02d6backed Under49c40.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick38cpaid+194.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Over50c40.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9814654.8%80 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3335…f6debacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015770.1%110 W · 47 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x268e…b38ebacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017659.7%105 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee86…07d8backed Over52c38.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.38955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf491…7096backed Over51c36.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f3…839dbacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…e83dbacked Over42c36.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ac…e7d7backed Over50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc11c…8d8abacked Over60c33.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206361.9%39 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Over49c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b56…31f0backed Over55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc294…c088backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.935454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…2afcbacked Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+72.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c29.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.381,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Over49c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154141.5%17 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x76cb…45e7backed Over53c28.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under49c27.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8269863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked Over49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Over49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over52c21.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49d…5488backed Over50c21.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a1…978abacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101020%2 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-62%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5524…2f3cbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb631…d06bbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78b2…dd6dbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…349cbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x217b…a587backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under69c16.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.