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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbec7…5977backed Spirit53c6,900$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,233.9957847.4%274 W · 304 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Spirit32c3,052$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.8129851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons70c2,905$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0204,26149.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L+62.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons43c2,470$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.061,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons36c2,374$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.961,27347.1%600 W · 673 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Team Falcons46c1,901$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.236347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Team Falcons48c1,729$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8302250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Spirit59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.924165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7f…9550backed Spirit60c1,672$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.742458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons35c1,523$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.53,26250.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L+97.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Team Falcons46c1,350$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Team Falcons48c1,271$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61046443.1%200 W · 264 L+1.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2816…8e43backed Team Falcons79c1,260$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002763%17 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Spirit39c1,016$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.5340348.6%196 W · 207 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Spirit58c1,000$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41558651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b8…63cbbacked Spirit71c871.59$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+90%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Falcons60c575.96$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.3422761.7%140 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons47c505.79$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.721,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee8…6c2ebacked Spirit53c505.79$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.721533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Team Falcons16c494.57$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.131,28922%283 W · 1,006 L-25.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x866f…d410backed Spirit22c466.13$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.586521.5%14 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ad3…1ad5backed Team Falcons11c457.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505435.2%19 W · 35 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-44.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa43f…fc07backed Spirit26c456.49$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.191717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Team Falcons3c441.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Falcons46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2835…4d6cbacked Team Falcons10c379.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd8…1cd8backed Spirit55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Team Falcons44c282.86$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x888a…ef47backed Spirit56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.864443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab43…4180backed Team Falcons15c263.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Spirit48c242.31$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12612145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Team Falcons46c238.57$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7497230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0981…913ebacked Spirit21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.12965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Falcons44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Spirit56c227.27$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10045148.1%217 W · 234 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Team Falcons72c222.34$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.189048.9%44 W · 46 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons67c198.5$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13345457%259 W · 195 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4b1…18ffbacked Team Falcons52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b0…4f5cbacked Spirit31c181.55$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.278736.8%32 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Spirit56c178.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.688446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Spirit62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2915255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3d…76b9backed Spirit64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Team Falcons48c138.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6927133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed Team Falcons45c136.64$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4910354.4%56 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a37…093fbacked Spirit46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.431258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaff5…57a8backed Team Falcons80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed Spirit26c119.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2318543.2%80 W · 105 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d66…624cbacked Spirit50c112.48$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Spirit55c111.11$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe815…f3fbbacked Team Falcons45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Team Falcons46c110.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5153248.9%260 W · 272 L-29.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Team Falcons49c109$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Team Falcons30c107.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.581816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc117…3ed5backed Team Falcons15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf376…953abacked Spirit21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.245236.5%19 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed Spirit54c94.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4418265.9%120 W · 62 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Team Falcons30c93.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2812441.1%51 W · 73 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Spirit70c93.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…2026backed Team Falcons49c93.17$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.545248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Falcons44c93.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Spirit56c93.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9911044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae8…0e50backed Spirit40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457741.6%32 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Spirit66c74.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0221139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Spirit56c67.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Team Falcons15c67.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.281010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-87%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Team Falcons49c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked Team Falcons54c61.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.314555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Falcons41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.61,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c10…719dbacked Team Falcons64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.460%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb3a…35bbbacked Team Falcons51c58.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Team Falcons54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Spirit37c55.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9822556.9%128 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed Team Falcons44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x687c…8c91backed Team Falcons52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4698…22dabacked Spirit41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.785754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891c…ef89backed Spirit61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.985567.3%37 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Team Falcons49c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2949…76bcbacked Spirit51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96fc…b166backed Spirit54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick54cpaid-73.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit52c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.761,74047%817 W · 923 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Team Falcons63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f5…3382backed Spirit64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Spirit51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Team Falcons47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd67a…304cbacked Spirit51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…1b46backed Spirit71c27.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.019759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Spirit57c23.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1036555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Spirit51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed Spirit51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Team Falcons77c17.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.179144%40 W · 51 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.