TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ee8…6c2e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Champions League at 49 out of 100; worst CS2 at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Looking for Org vs Team Sangre - Game 1 Winnerbacked Looking for Org · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+27.3%+$4.62
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$149.61
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$32.98
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)backed Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$101.73
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winnerbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Dota 2: Most Wanted vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+68.9%+$57.1
Dota 2: Most Wanted vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.6%+$28.67
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$68.18
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Kalmychata - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$48.73
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team (BO3)backed L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+25%+$12
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$49.81
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+233.3%+$34.91
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$81.93
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$76.78
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+66.7%+$30.75
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$32.96
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$76.85
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$41.15
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$63.32
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$50.52
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$46.25
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+40.9%+$186.57
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$91.86
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+126.5%+$50.45
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.51
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.99
Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.69
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Rooster (BO1)backed Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+35.1%+$3.92
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$289.12
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$113.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$243.31
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$421.96
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$203.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$152.61
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+28.3%+$113.29
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$237.72
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$145.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.