Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d54bd214d8de9830b05d59e358cc01bfbd2cdecc35462460026fa37b2226246
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Tundra Esports, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 33,778$26,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,772.54 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 15,049$7,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,811.74 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 8,669$4,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.66 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 8,000$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313.97 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 26c | 6,546$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.16 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 5,710$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.56 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 4,855$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.13 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 4,630$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.57 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…c415backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 4,436$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 4,224$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 4,159$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.54 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Tundra Esports | 9c | 3,891$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.72 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 3,749$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.69 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 3,448$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.24 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 3,438$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.8 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c05…578fbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 3,403$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…9e1cbacked Tundra Esports | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 2,619$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.05 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 2,500$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.97 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 2,324$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.91 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…d701backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 2,320$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 2,291$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.8 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,833$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 1,512$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.81 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,385$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.18 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 1,380$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 1,379$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.94 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,331$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.33 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356e…a471backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 1,279$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 1,243$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.01 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,093$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.81 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,027$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.54 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 1,016$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.69 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 658.96$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.18 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 628.47$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.61 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 604.33$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.33 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 601.58$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.05 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 600$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…37d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 579.07$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.07 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1391…6b3fbacked Tundra Esports | 9c | 572.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 555.81$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.81 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 511.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.4 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 500$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 481.3$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.41 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 475$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Tundra Esports | 24c | 470.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 467.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.42 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 467.27$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 436.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.87 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7efc…bea6backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 322.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 311.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.26 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 272.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 272.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b82…9c30backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 264.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 254.77$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 250$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 247.95$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 210$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 203.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Tundra Esports | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 191.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 188.61$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 178.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…9148backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 170$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 151.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…14a2backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 145.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 144.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 133.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…7a4bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…6c2ebacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 119.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…9194backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 112.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…5b72backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 109.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 100.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…a953backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 89.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 86.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -73%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…79a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Tundra Esports | 13c | 76.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)Xtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.