TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea61…cc32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST7549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100.01
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winnerbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$99.75
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.7%+$651.96
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$300
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+138.2%+$975.65
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$696.99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+110.7%+$553.65
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$323.78
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,028.88
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+203%+$406.06
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+223.9%+$222.98
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$234
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+146%+$732.34
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+163.2%+$854.94
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$378
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$450.64
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$453.24
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$289.92
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+185.7%+$564.04
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,548.79
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST3548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$181.76
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+426.3%+$205.9
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$131.48
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$108.5
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,599.31
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$132.3
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+203%+$201
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$201.6
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$102
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+233.5%+$233.38
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$99.75
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+900%+$899.99
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$201.6
Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$177.19
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$85.71
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$200
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$104.94
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$422.86
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$529.79
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$99.98
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$208
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$982.04
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$835.98
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$199.99
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+117.4%+$108
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$9
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+78.6%+$40.07
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+86.5%+$251.92
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+86.4%+$479.87
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$227.5
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$149.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+450.4%+$626.42
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$210
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$261.99
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$237.56
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$163.63
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-59.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$2,499.99
Will Comoros win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$806
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+104.1%+$156.12
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$149.44
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+53.8%+$360.75
Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Senegal vs. Botswana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.84
Will Botswana win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$34.02
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$133.33
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$263.68
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+138.1%+$580
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$271.89
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+185.7%+$338.98
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$138.98
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.1
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO1)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+51.5%+$380
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$454.53
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$254.54
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$258
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$201.6
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$139
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$677.98
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+132.6%+$205.7
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$305
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,047Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+51.5%+$539.46
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$390
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$202.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$299.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Simona Waltertbacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,012.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.