Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a5136cf3be88a2a55c95747b392d00f00220c24f20d91751e9accaf61a4eb5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Yandex, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 28,979$11,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,264.67 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Team Spirit | 61c | 26,529$16,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,346.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Yandex | 42c | 21,633$9,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,007.02 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 12,251$5,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,943 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 9,620$6,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.43 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Team Yandex | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.99 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 56c | 8,904$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.86 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Team Spirit | 76c | 8,807$6,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.96 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit | 71c | 8,664$6,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.86 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Yandex | 15c | 5,900$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.64 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex | 27c | 4,874$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.42 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…e150backed Team Spirit | 62c | 4,032$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 3,787$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.39 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 3,675$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.44 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 3,431$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.09 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Yandex | 40c | 3,070$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.43 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Team Spirit | 52c | 3,061$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.82 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Yandex | 49c | 3,029$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…a807backed Team Yandex | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Spirit | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Spirit | 57c | 2,330$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.58 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 2,326$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.15 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…79ccbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 2,175$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Team Yandex | 46c | 2,005$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.34 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.7 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,957$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.61 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Team Spirit | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.99 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Yandex | 30c | 1,558$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.83 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 1,465$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.53 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…f760backed Team Yandex | 23c | 1,289$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Yandex | 43c | 1,260$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.5 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Yandex | 33c | 1,206$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.56 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Yandex | 43c | 1,175$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.47 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Team Yandex | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Team Spirit | 54c | 980.59$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.07 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Team Yandex | 19c | 950$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Team Yandex | 33c | 887.99$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.04 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Team Yandex | 17c | 842.37$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 817.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…b8f7backed Team Spirit | 79c | 667.32$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.32 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Team Spirit | 53c | 646.7$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.95 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Team Spirit | 56c | 608.14$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.39 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Team Yandex | 49c | 607.93$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Spirit | 51c | 604$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.15 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Team Spirit | 75c | 600$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Team Spirit | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 43c | 592.07$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.35 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…37d0backed Team Spirit | 53c | 563.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Yandex | 41c | 548.78$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed Team Spirit | 57c | 537.72$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.23 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Team Spirit | 69c | 512.63$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…c136backed Team Spirit | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Yandex | 29c | 479.91$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Spirit | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Spirit | 62c | 431.83$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.1 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Team Spirit | 58c | 427.59$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.59 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Yandex | 27c | 399.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…dc73backed Team Yandex | 31c | 397.86$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Team Spirit | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…0591backed Team Spirit | 58c | 347.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…3b47backed Team Spirit | 56c | 329.7$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f6d9backed Team Yandex | 25c | 311.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Spirit | 54c | 310$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c6…54cbbacked Team Yandex | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team Spirit | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.1 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Team Yandex | 14c | 299$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 33c | 291.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 280$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…2c0dbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 250.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex | 19c | 250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…ccbbbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 240$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked Team Spirit | 57c | 235.41$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Spirit | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Team Yandex | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…8b6cbacked Team Yandex | 29c | 184.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…7b70backed Team Spirit | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Team Yandex | 40c | 173.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Yandex | 46c | 165.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e1fbbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Team Spirit | 56c | 157.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed Team Yandex | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Team Spirit | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 145.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Team Yandex | 35c | 145$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Yandex | 39c | 119.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…df69backed Team Yandex | 41c | 110.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Team Spirit | 72c | 103.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Yandex | 46c | 102.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…d041backed Team Spirit | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…fea3backed Team Yandex | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed Team Yandex | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Yandex | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Team Spirit | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Spirit | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)Team Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.