TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6ec…875c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.17
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.99
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the 2025 Ryder Cup end in a tie?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$161
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2025 Tour Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Max Greyserman win the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Russell Henley win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Will Sam Burns win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Will Ben Griffin win the 2025 Memorial Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.4
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.47
Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Scottie Scheffler win a Major in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+151.4%+$424.57
Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+879%+$1,933.85
All 22 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.29
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+150%+$179.99
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Abacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$38.63
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+63.5%+$317.74
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$190
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$117
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$193.79
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$117.46
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$94
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$260
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Phillies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+150%+$180
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Yankees vs. Metsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.4
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$235
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$195.09
Rangers vs. Nationalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.6
Royals vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Angels vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Red Sox vs. Bravesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Athletics vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$159.31
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$84
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Flyers vs. Canucksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$172
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$303.4
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.24
NHL Playoffs: Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars (To Advance)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$122.99
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$284.5
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+525%+$168
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$187.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.13
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$51.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$115
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.