Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a4e36d915d434822673d330198387b28c490ce56a8405d080ad57003abdbb6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Team Tidebound
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Tidebound | 45c | 9,867$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked OG | 54c | 6,879$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.74 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Tidebound | 12c | 6,492$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.6 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Team Tidebound | 42c | 6,238$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.19 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed OG | 59c | 6,207$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.5 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Tidebound | 16c | 5,643$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.37 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Tidebound | 15c | 5,393$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.78 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed OG | 57c | 5,280$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.25 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Tidebound | 40c | 4,693$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.11 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Tidebound | 26c | 4,679$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.45 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed OG | 57c | 4,333$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.37 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Team Tidebound | 39c | 3,404$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.34 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Team Tidebound | 41c | 3,218$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.99 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Tidebound | 11c | 3,199$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.9 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82d…ae0fbacked OG | 60c | 3,080$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked OG | 58c | 2,918$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.6 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked OG | 59c | 2,642$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.34 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Tidebound | 17c | 2,550$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.13 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Team Tidebound | 39c | 2,532$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.78 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Tidebound | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Tidebound | 41c | 1,834$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Tidebound | 41c | 1,829$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Team Tidebound | 17c | 1,800$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe386…bfa5backed Team Tidebound | 39c | 1,768$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…ef4bbacked OG | 60c | 1,705$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…7ec7backed Team Tidebound | 40c | 1,703$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Tidebound | 41c | 1,600$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.02 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked OG | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed OG | 63c | 1,403$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.16 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked OG | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed OG | 58c | 1,326$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.77 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfac…75debacked Team Tidebound | 43c | 1,304$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 1,293$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.16 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed OG | 59c | 1,278$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…4678backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 1,228$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Team Tidebound | 14c | 1,222$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.85 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148a…d483backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 1,163$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed OG | 70c | 1,107$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.81 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Team Tidebound | 40c | 1,025$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked OG | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed OG | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Tidebound | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Team Tidebound | 41c | 999.96$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed OG | 55c | 999.71$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.87 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed OG | 62c | 998.05$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.38 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Tidebound | 45c | 990.04$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.32 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…3dabbacked OG | 62c | 962$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Tidebound | 49c | 954.57$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.39 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6662…3e03backed OG | 61c | 918$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Team Tidebound | 41c | 899.99$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed OG | 59c | 866.01$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.46 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395b…abcebacked OG | 61c | 850$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Tidebound | 39c | 838.23$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.23 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked OG | 60c | 834.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.33 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Tidebound | 43c | 821.4$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed OG | 54c | 803.5$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.02 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b02…0c1cbacked Team Tidebound | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed OG | 59c | 784.06$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.15 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed OG | 58c | 743.62$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.62 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Team Tidebound | 14c | 705.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81cb…a228backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 704.75$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…60cdbacked OG | 62c | 687$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…0312backed Team Tidebound | 39c | 682$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Team Tidebound | 41c | 638.98$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…c052backed Team Tidebound | 39c | 618$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef7…9da3backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 591$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa86…7414backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 590$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…fe74backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 585$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed OG | 58c | 521.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.07 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…8015backed OG | 63c | 514$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…2ccabacked OG | 58c | 506.29$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked OG | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked OG | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed OG | 64c | 496.27$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed OG | 62c | 487.89$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…6567backed Team Tidebound | 39c | 484$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…6448backed OG | 62c | 476$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Team Tidebound | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Team Tidebound | 17c | 464.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615c…e9c3backed OG | 61c | 463$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…2951backed Team Tidebound | 39c | 458$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed OG | 57c | 416.22$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Tidebound | 13c | 410.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…ce88backed OG | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…aba4backed OG | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Tidebound | 36c | 399.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 62c | 362.02$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.91 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…156cbacked OG | 61c | 356$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…3cadbacked OG | 63c | 355$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374f…5087backed OG | 63c | 350$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed OG | 80c | 327.46$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…4eb8backed Team Tidebound | 39c | 323$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…8062backed Team Tidebound | 18c | 309.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed OG | 52c | 303.57$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Team Tidebound | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Team Tidebound | 23c | 291.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98a…8d9abacked OG | 61c | 290$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Team Tidebound | 16c | 287.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…c28dbacked OG | 61c | 286$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 WinnerOG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.