TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x352d…ef4b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,039.84
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$555.8
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$633.77
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$221
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,009.8
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$27.51
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$23.83
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$26.5
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$20.2
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$14.63
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$16.66
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$15.43
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+83.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$514.12
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$1,074.28
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$544
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$1,037.52
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$21.8
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.25
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pirates vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$746.34
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+163.1%+$1,039.44
Brewers vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,021.21
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$467.55
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$581.64
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+56.2%+$596.19
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$375.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Tottenham Hotspur end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+300%+$1,067.25
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$24.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.08
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$648.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mozambique win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,031.64
Will North Macedonia vs. Latvia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,051.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,025.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$681.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$480.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+37%+$379.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union Berlin vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$392.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$610.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.