NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x261582a525f88cec72d3fa7072aa4d37f9093971c349e6534a4567e1d541e6f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Devils, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Avalanche | 56c | 50,962$28,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,396.4 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Devils | 44c | 12,422$5,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,490.63 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Devils | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Devils | 17c | 9,177$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.24 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Devils | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Devils | 44c | 6,582$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.97 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 44c | 5,619$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.82 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Avalanche | 76c | 5,063$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Devils | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…630ebacked Avalanche | 55c | 4,296$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…b238backed Avalanche | 59c | 3,403$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils | 44c | 3,089$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.23 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Devils | 19c | 3,020$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.39 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Devils | 43c | 2,779$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.94 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Devils | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.9 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Devils | 42c | 2,379$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.91 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Devils | 32c | 2,115$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Devils | 42c | 2,032$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.43 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…58a2backed Devils | 23c | 1,439$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Avalanche | 56c | 1,325$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.85 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x801c…e723backed Devils | 43c | 1,324$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Devils | 9c | 1,300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…3e1ebacked Devils | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Devils | 44c | 1,220$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.3 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Avalanche | 55c | 1,215$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Devils | 45c | 1,214$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.29 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…c442backed Devils | 43c | 1,162$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Devils | 43c | 1,141$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.38 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Devils | 18c | 1,118$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Devils | 29c | 1,010$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.7 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Devils | 40c | 984.66$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.93 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd268…7a63backed Avalanche | 57c | 946.69$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Devils | 46c | 944.83$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.62 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c63…ee13backed Avalanche | 57c | 852.1$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…69e7backed Avalanche | 62c | 812.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Avalanche | 57c | 699.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.25 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650f…838bbacked Avalanche | 57c | 687.62$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Devils | 46c | 682.86$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.17 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Avalanche | 55c | 631.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Avalanche | 55c | 600$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.84 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…97fbbacked Avalanche | 57c | 569.19$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…5c9bbacked Devils | 44c | 511.36$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Devils | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Avalanche | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Avalanche | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Devils | 44c | 399.97$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…8f62backed Devils | 44c | 376.72$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Devils | 27c | 371.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Avalanche | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Devils | 43c | 337.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Devils | 42c | 329.31$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Devils | 43c | 314$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…e9b5backed Avalanche | 56c | 299$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…0d50backed Avalanche | 58c | 260.34$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec5…58f5backed Devils | 44c | 259.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Devils | 49c | 245.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…84ffbacked Devils | 47c | 241.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3f…bf4dbacked Devils | 47c | 231.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Devils | 43c | 223.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…d17dbacked Devils | 47c | 215.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7526…fb52backed Devils | 47c | 215.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…8801backed Avalanche | 56c | 212.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…50c3backed Avalanche | 54c | 209.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…56f4backed Avalanche | 54c | 208.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…1b33backed Avalanche | 54c | 205.7$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce19…08a6backed Avalanche | 54c | 202.76$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…0227backed Devils | 48c | 202.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…24f0backed Avalanche | 57c | 198.47$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…1ecdbacked Devils | 47c | 196.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…672ebacked Avalanche | 54c | 196.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…ef26backed Devils | 44c | 196$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6a…672bbacked Avalanche | 54c | 193.02$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…89b8backed Avalanche | 54c | 187.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfed…9510backed Devils | 47c | 182.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…5f3fbacked Avalanche | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…b01abacked Avalanche | 56c | 181.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af6…7f74backed Devils | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Avalanche | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Avalanche | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…2108backed Devils | 45c | 169.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…eab3backed Devils | 47c | 167.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…1282backed Devils | 47c | 167.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…bf79backed Devils | 45c | 160.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…548fbacked Devils | 45c | 158.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…f213backed Devils | 45c | 156.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2ac8backed Avalanche | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…894abacked Devils | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…2573backed Avalanche | 56c | 149.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…b190backed Avalanche | 56c | 147.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f4…e5f6backed Avalanche | 54c | 145.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…2e6dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 140.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Devils | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…877dbacked Avalanche | 55c | 139.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…990ebacked Devils | 45c | 139.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2210…2656backed Devils | 45c | 139$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Devils | 43c | 134.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.