TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x479c…bcbc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
288
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 59 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT7549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$10.8
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$184
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.5
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$137.5
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$295
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$170
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$210
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$315
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$255
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$312
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$186.47
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$371
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$342
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$315
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Wizards vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$53.6
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$210
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$251.95
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST5750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Will Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+39.1%+$253.13
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$99
Will Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$36
Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.99
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Brentford vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$125
Will Everton win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$162.5
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$330
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+212.5%+$340
Will Crystal Palace vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Ipswich vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+37%+$270
Will West Ham win on 2025-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$272
Will Brighton win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$220
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$140
Will Fulham vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$1,600
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+49.3%+$561
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$1,560
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+42.9%+$540
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+35.1%+$260
Will Brentford win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+212.5%+$476
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST3542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$117.3
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$152.5
Canucks vs. Bluesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
Kraken vs. Wildbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.4
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$24.99
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.5
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$171
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$180
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Oilers vs. Sabresbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$512
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$155
Sharks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$722
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$168
Flames vs. Lightningbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+170.3%+$378
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$132
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$540
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$152.1
Will Liverpool vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$91
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Lille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+334.8%+$616
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$230
Will Monaco win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+33.3%+$225
Will the match between Aston Villa and Celtic end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+25%+$60
Will Juventus beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+316.7%+$532
Will Inter Milan beat Bayer Leverkusen?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+42.9%+$195
Will the match between Atalanta and Real Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+37%+$297
Will the match between Red Star Belgrade and Stuttgart end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+31.6%+$480
Will the match between Sturm Graz and Girona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+35.1%+$104
Will Club Brugge beat Aston Villa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$496.4
Will Young Boys beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+28.2%+$110
Will the match between PSV and Girona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+29.9%+$190.9
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$249.6
Will Atalanta beat Celtic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$355
Will RB Leipzig beat Juventus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$116.99
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$55
Will Arsenal beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$176.44
Will Arsenal beat Atalanta?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$151.05
Will Barcelona beat Monaco?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$151.2
Will Benfica beat Red Star Belgrade?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$145.02
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Feyenoord?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$104.2
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Club Brugge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$174.9
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$60
Guardians vs. Rangersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.4
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Tigers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$64.5
Dodgers vs. Redsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Padres vs. Cardinalsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$57
Astros vs. Diamondbacksbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Royals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Brewers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Padres vs. Nationalsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Giants vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Mariners vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21
Diamondbacks vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Reds vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.9
NLCS: Dodgers vs. Mets Game 6backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$420
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 5backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$550
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 4backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$101.05
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42%+$74
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.5
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$350.19
Will the match between Ajax and Galatasaray end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$24.75
Will the match between Tottenham and AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$1,560
Will Lazio beat Porto?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$671
Will Manchester United beat PAOK?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$117
Will Manchester United beat Fenerbahce?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$420
Will Tottenham beat Ferencvaros?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$148
Will Tottenham beat Qarabag?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will Malmo beat Rangers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$149.64
Will Fenerbahce beat Union Saint-Gilloise?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nice beat Real Sociedad?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$150
Will Galatasaray beat PAOK?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.26
Will Slavia Prague beat Ludogorets?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$172.24
Will Lazio beat Dynamo Kiev?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$65.05
Will AZ Alkmaar beat IF Elfsborg?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$77.17
Will Porto beat Bodo Glimt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$151.02
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+38.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+40.8%+$464
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$380
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+177.8%+$1,408
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+51.5%+$59.5
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+127.3%+$588
Patriots vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$280
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$84
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$336
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$210
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$122.1
Jaguars vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$520
Saints vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$20.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST8100%8 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Louisiana vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+29.9%+$230
Tulane vs. Floridabacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$330
California vs. UNLVbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$205
Western Kentucky vs. James Madisonbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$270
All 5 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.27
Xavier vs. Illinoisbacked Xavier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$148
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No Eigenlayer token launch in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.5
Aleo airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia beat Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$28.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-10-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WNBA Finals: Lynx vs. Liberty Game 3backed Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.