NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c445b67a7e072039620b247d88e92107153868e47b50e6fdf16a811637531de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Pistons | 61c | 30,143$18,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,638.73 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Spurs | 30c | 30,108$8,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,884.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Spurs | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons | 69c | 11,900$8,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Spurs | 39c | 11,868$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622.8 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Spurs | 38c | 9,609$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,651.3 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Spurs | 1c | 7,647$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Spurs | 0c | 7,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pistons | 52c | 7,081$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.09 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Spurs | 1c | 6,626$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 61c | 6,388$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.04 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Spurs | 40c | 5,821$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs | 7c | 5,600$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Spurs | 39c | 5,585$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.65 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Pistons | 79c | 4,430$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.38 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons | 62c | 4,006$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.77 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 60c | 3,993$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.15 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pistons | 61c | 3,815$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.85 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 39c | 3,750$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Pistons | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pistons | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.91 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pistons | 61c | 3,446$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.78 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Spurs | 1c | 3,114$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Spurs | 39c | 3,077$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Spurs | 15c | 2,788$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Spurs | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pistons | 65c | 2,303$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.85 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…5243backed Spurs | 22c | 2,030$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.26 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pistons | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Spurs | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.98 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Spurs | 5c | 1,989$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons | 61c | 1,855$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.57 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230c…46e8backed Spurs | 39c | 1,650$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pistons | 63c | 1,604$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.76 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Pistons | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Pistons | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.08 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pistons | 55c | 1,108$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.27 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Pistons | 75c | 1,042$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.47 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pistons | 60c | 1,029$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.74 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Spurs | 18c | 1,025$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.16 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Pistons | 64c | 1,002$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Pistons | 60c | 1,002$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.85 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…d1a2backed Spurs | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.18 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…79aebacked Pistons | 61c | 999.92$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Spurs | 13c | 993.46$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Pistons | 61c | 991.47$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.67 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Spurs | 38c | 950$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Spurs | 39c | 922$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.58 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Spurs | 21c | 900$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Spurs | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe540…bfcfbacked Spurs | 40c | 888.85$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pistons | 63c | 880.95$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.95 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Spurs | 12c | 836.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Spurs | 36c | 835.1$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Pistons | 61c | 813.11$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.11 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 74c | 810.87$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.41 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Pistons | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…859bbacked Pistons | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Spurs | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce7…28b3backed Spurs | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Pistons | 62c | 774.19$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.19 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Pistons | 59c | 643.78$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.39 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Pistons | 62c | 641.93$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.93 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pistons | 62c | 613.84$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.35 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Pistons | 79c | 583.12$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…e441backed Spurs | 39c | 564.03$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…f347backed Spurs | 39c | 541.03$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons | 57c | 528.83$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.51 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Spurs | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Spurs | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Spurs | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b624backed Pistons | 62c | 445.42$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…502abacked Pistons | 62c | 443.81$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pistons | 62c | 432$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Spurs | 39c | 426.05$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.36 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…982dbacked Pistons | 62c | 416.13$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.13 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Spurs | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Spurs | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Pistons | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557b…3d48backed Pistons | 62c | 375.81$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Spurs | 4c | 367$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pistons | 61c | 362.11$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.95 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs | 42c | 360$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Pistons | 66c | 349.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ae…b38dbacked Pistons | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Pistons | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…a9b6backed Spurs | 39c | 320.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Spurs | 26c | 320$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Spurs | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Pistons | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Pistons | 64c | 300$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Spurs | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pistons | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Pistons | 56c | 299.3$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.24 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Spurs | 37c | 296.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Spurs | 45c | 295.3$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Spurs | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Spurs | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…d17dbacked Spurs | 39c | 239.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.