TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a27…b9dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2025, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,361
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,605Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$2,949.75
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$1,080
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$2,720
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,727
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$111
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$54
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,425
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,909.96
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$899.99
Utah vs. Kingsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$828.75
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+112.8%+$1,060
Stars vs. Devilsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,040
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+122.2%+$1,100
Rangers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$624.52
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$615
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$778.95
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,558.48
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,295Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$4,550.68
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,500.65
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,096Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$1,934.39
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,801Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$4,200.84
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,951Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$3,051.21
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,654.25
Yankees vs. Astrosbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,957Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$2,841.51
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+135.2%+$735.68
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,907.58
Angels vs. Royalsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+150%+$901.79
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.68
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$945.46
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,503.59
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,800
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2025, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$71.61
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$1,480
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$148.8
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$780
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$408.68
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$300.64
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+72.4%+$757.26
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$615
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$289.99
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$300
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+150%+$333
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$360.75
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$377.4
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$260.85
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$294.15
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.75
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.8
All 7 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dayton vs. Loyola Chicagobacked Dayton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,452.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.