MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x716fc688fe682767661c9782c672766a24b635a9175f7e5974aaa38e08b82469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Dodgers, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $367,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 38c | 104,568$40,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,320.29 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ca9bbacked Dodgers | 62c | 96,000$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 51c | 38,730$19,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,761.71 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dodgers | 61c | 33,800$20,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,618 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Pirates | 38c | 21,927$8,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,594.79 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers | 55c | 20,344$11,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,203.25 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 46c | 20,332$9,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,928.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pirates | 44c | 15,713$6,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,804 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Pirates | 40c | 12,846$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,746.15 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Dodgers | 63c | 11,171$7,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,025 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Pirates | 39c | 10,034$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,123.08 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Dodgers | 61c | 9,000$5,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,451.43 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Pirates | 72c | 8,632$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.86 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 40c | 8,412$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,047.06 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2979…59e5backed Dodgers | 61c | 6,615$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Dodgers | 28c | 6,000$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.13 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 69c | 4,645$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pirates | 37c | 4,228$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.33 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…2858backed Pirates | 78c | 3,947$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 71c | 3,932$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.79 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pirates | 73c | 3,570$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.27 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pirates | 46c | 3,538$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Dodgers | 21c | 2,980$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.61 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…3a79backed Dodgers | 46c | 2,815$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.65 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 40c | 2,620$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.52 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 50c | 2,594$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.91 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Dodgers | 61c | 2,367$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…f405backed Pirates | 38c | 2,300$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Dodgers | 60c | 2,180$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.4 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 37c | 2,170$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.1 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 63c | 2,080$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.17 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 43c | 1,780$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.2 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pirates | 38c | 1,746$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.02 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 28c | 1,730$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 37c | 1,716$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.44 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Dodgers | 61c | 1,698$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.56 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 37c | 1,672$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.32 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Pirates | 38c | 1,631$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.22 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Pirates | 39c | 1,550$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Dodgers | 43c | 1,360$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.06 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 53c | 1,250$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…ff17backed Pirates | 40c | 1,247$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Dodgers | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.9 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Dodgers | 60c | 1,101$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.47 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Dodgers | 62c | 1,098$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.49 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x651f…c190backed Pirates | 38c | 1,080$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Dodgers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Dodgers | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Pirates | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…5161backed Pirates | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Dodgers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Pirates | 37c | 992.67$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.38 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Dodgers | 63c | 981.77$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.52 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…4dc1backed Dodgers | 63c | 954$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Pirates | 37c | 950$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…72c7backed Dodgers | 63c | 946$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd0…647bbacked Pirates | 37c | 900$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…9227backed Dodgers | 62c | 899.99$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Dodgers | 42c | 831.07$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.05 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 37c | 809.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.29 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…4106backed Dodgers | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Dodgers | 60c | 799.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Dodgers | 56c | 791.76$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.39 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pirates | 40c | 781.25$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.75 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pirates | 38c | 779.41$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.01 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Dodgers | 27c | 753.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Pirates | 62c | 750$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 44c | 706.68$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.87 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 68c | 682.51$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.12 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pirates | 39c | 650$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 37c | 647$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.61 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pirates | 39c | 624.67$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.05 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Dodgers | 63c | 620.48$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Pirates | 36c | 619.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.54 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Pirates | 37c | 615.9$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Dodgers | 25c | 603.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…d4f3backed Dodgers | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Pirates | 61c | 587.69$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.48 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Dodgers | 45c | 573.74$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Dodgers | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Dodgers | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Dodgers | 22c | 490.91$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Dodgers | 31c | 462.81$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.47 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Dodgers | 49c | 444$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.64 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Pirates | 72c | 421$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 61c | 417.85$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.89 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 36c | 414.49$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.27 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dodgers | 28c | 404$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Dodgers | 21c | 400.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Pirates | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Dodgers | 60c | 399$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.39 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…9b4abacked Dodgers | 15c | 392.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Dodgers | 58c | 379.6$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.17 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…66f2backed Dodgers | 62c | 359.55$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Pirates | 38c | 350.24$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.76 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 38c | 349.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dodgers vs. Piratesthis page
- Dodgers vs. Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Dodgers (-1.5)Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.