TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1d64…5c93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
326
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: UFC, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 64 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT13653.7%73 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$193.7
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.68
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$513.36
Swiss Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$626.95
Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.92
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Swiss Open: Federico Cina vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$115.38
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Liam Broadybacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+328.4%+$788.57
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatovbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$148.42
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$93.83
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.08
Swiss Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.67
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.28
ITF Tokyo: Jumpei Yamasaki vs Jangjun Kimbacked Jangjun Kim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.01
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$965.29
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$147.15
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$128.76
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.57
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$203.07
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.35
Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Medvedevbacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.62
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$296.51
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.3
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT8549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.5
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.39
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$61.51
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$56.75
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$84.71
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.83
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020.09
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$717.83
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.55
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31%+$220.99
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$249.41
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.81
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$71.38
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.9%+$67.42
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$99.4
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+212.5%+$155.42
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$318
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$200.25
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+93.2%+$209.62
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$274.49
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+154.6%+$192.02
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$199.95
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.99
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,010.93
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.93
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.16
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$170.35
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$90.81
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.25
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$38.58
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.78
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$389
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$16.65
Tigers vs. Twinsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$228.76
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,000
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+68.3%+$832
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+80%+$509.66
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.16
Cardinals vs. Rockiesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$376.84
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$330.99
Will Junior Caminero win the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.51
Will Oneil Cruz win the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$252
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+75.9%+$391.33
Diamondbacks vs. Angelsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.5
Mets vs. Royalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$258.7
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.09
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.34
Will Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$20.98
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$47.84
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$863Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$863.43
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+123%+$125.06
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$34.96
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37.9%+$15.73
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$699.69
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,092Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25%+$273.4
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,474.59
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$332.42
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$249.64
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$156.4
Manchester City vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.2%+$47.17
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,292.43
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.34per pick44cpaid+97%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.91
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangbacked Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+297.8%+$1,042.31
UFC Fight Night: Long vs. Youbacked You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+78.2%+$480.25
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.88
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,825Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+81.9%+$3,133.51
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull backed Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+137.2%+$988.51
UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuberbacked Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$933.81
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeirabacked Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Bonfimbacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$229.06
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Garciabacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
UFC Fight Night: Tafa vs. Tokkosbacked Tokkos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
UFC Fight Night: Griffin vs. Curtisbacked Griffin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.5
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Njokuanibacked Matthews · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Walkerbacked Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$65
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$98.67
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$151.86
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$83.71
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$33.88
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+37.7%+$77.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+32%+$324.6
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+89.9%+$359.17
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+60.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+54.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE (BO3)backed ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+98.8%+$183.44
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+165.5%+$165.52
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$24.79
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25%+$44.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$294.34
Mystics vs. Sparksbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+100%+$100
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$125.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$255.16
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,329Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$516.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.26
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$166.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$707.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$272.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.