MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fd3871b0ec40072ac87c06ba0cf57483e65c6db0145a612bf096ab3143a07a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Samsung Lions | 36c | 5,506$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.34 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 71c | 3,120$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed Samsung Lions | 33c | 2,001$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 1,500$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.01 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 1,365$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.66 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kia Tigers | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kia Tigers | 47c | 931.59$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.89 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Samsung Lions | 12c | 880.09$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Samsung Lions | 12c | 585.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 545.08$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.93 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 26c | 508.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 477.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.21 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 34c | 466.88$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Samsung Lions | 29c | 443.82$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kia Tigers | 40c | 438.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.62 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 75c | 344.4$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 331.89$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Samsung Lions | 16c | 278$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 271.45$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 256.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 11c | 244$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 205.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Kia Tigers | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kia Tigers | 40c | 196$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked Kia Tigers | 80c | 188.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kia Tigers | 39c | 184.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Kia Tigers | 69c | 183.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 167.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 14c | 162.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Kia Tigers | 39c | 153.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…1d6fbacked Kia Tigers | 65c | 153.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 30c | 136.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 114.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 105.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Samsung Lions | 14c | 102$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…b68ebacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 92.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 28c | 90.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kia Tigers | 45c | 79.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Samsung Lions | 24c | 78.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked Kia Tigers | 71c | 78.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 76.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Samsung Lions | 34c | 67.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Kia Tigers | 75c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samsung Lions | 26c | 55.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 55.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Samsung Lions | 26c | 51.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 47.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Kia Tigers | 66c | 45.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 80c | 44.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kia Tigers | 40c | 39.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 34.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…289cbacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 30.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kia Tigers | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Kia Tigers | 52c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.