UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Walker

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaafe9c637f088ba90f1b5e1aab54c19ebe94a0f4e6e73ee0ae6f1bba9ce6ef9a

Rebuilt 41 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Walker of Nzechukwu, Walker
Resolved: Jul 12, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $100,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $110,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,940 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x245b…00c5backed Nzechukwu	63c	50,035$31,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,722.16	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Walker	39c	36,834$14,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,496.09	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Walker	37c	18,784$6,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,833.76	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Nzechukwu	65c	8,000$5,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,179.96	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce77…35d5backed Walker	43c	7,787$3,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,417.87	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Walker	37c	4,451$1,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,821.28	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Walker	50c	2,010$1,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,004.7	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Nzechukwu	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	169	55.6%94 W · 75 L	+23.8wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Nzechukwu	65c	2,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.99	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Walker	35c	1,900$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,235	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Walker	36c	1,890$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,213.48	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc607…4e9abacked Walker	36c	1,528$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.72	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Walker	34c	1,434$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950.63	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e4…fd34backed Walker	36c	822.97$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.47	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e7…c7c7backed Nzechukwu	65c	800$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Nzechukwu	63c	725.99$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.73	339	48.1%163 W · 176 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Walker	36c	718.02$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.71	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Walker	39c	625$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.95	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Walker	36c	623.36$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.93	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Walker	35c	560$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364	131	60.3%79 W · 52 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87d3…b82cbacked Walker	36c	556.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.16	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Walker	34c	500$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Nzechukwu	66c	500$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Walker	42c	476.19$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.19	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Walker	34c	349.99$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.99	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Walker	36c	346.19$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.35	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Walker	39c	305$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.95	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Walker	35c	300$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Nzechukwu	66c	299.92$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.95	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee4…80f2backed Walker	35c	285.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.71	65	55.4%36 W · 29 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Walker	37c	270.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.27	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Walker	33c	265.76$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.55	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Nzechukwu	61c	235$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.61	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+5.3wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dc5…c0d7backed Walker	44c	227.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.29	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Nzechukwu	65c	199.97$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.98	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2467…c702backed Walker	34c	159.98$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.58	100	45%45 W · 55 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Nzechukwu	64c	155$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.2	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Nzechukwu	65c	152.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Nzechukwu	66c	151.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.28per pick	62cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Nzechukwu	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed95…b1e6backed Nzechukwu	66c	140.32$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc90…a076backed Walker	36c	140$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.6	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Walker	49c	140$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.4	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Walker	36c	138.89$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.89	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…aa6bbacked Walker	36c	137.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Walker	34c	127.22$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.96	141	44.7%63 W · 78 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Nzechukwu	66c	124.74$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.33	168	51.8%87 W · 81 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Walker	34c	124.74$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.33	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2388…377ebacked Walker	36c	122.22$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.22	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Nzechukwu	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Nzechukwu	67c	100$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.5	248	62.5%155 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab43…f7b3backed Nzechukwu	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	160	58.8%94 W · 66 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Walker	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+4.8wins	+0.34per pick	44cpaid	+97%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Walker	35c	85.71$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.71	324	31.8%103 W · 221 L	-9.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e96…45a2backed Walker	36c	83.33$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.33	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+4.0wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+49%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaade…64eabacked Walker	35c	78.51$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.03	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1cd…a252backed Walker	35c	57.14$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.14	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Walker	36c	56.15$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.15	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Walker	36c	54.8$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.8	99	50.5%50 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3916…53c7backed Walker	35c	52.94$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.41	50	38%19 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Walker	36c	50$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Nzechukwu	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Walker	36c	41.67$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+4.1wins	+0.18per pick	56cpaid	+40%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a01…0d9abacked Nzechukwu	66c	30.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	75	48%36 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10e…e895backed Nzechukwu	66c	30.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-4.5wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Nzechukwu	65c	27.23$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f0…c63cbacked Nzechukwu	65c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	63cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Walkerthis page
UFC Fight Night: Griffin vs. CurtisCurtis won
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. GarciaGarcia won
UFC Fight Night: Kline vs. MartinezKline won
UFC Fight Night: Landwehr vs. CharrièreCharrière won
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. TeixeiraLewis won
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. NjokuaniMatthews won
UFC Fight Night: Murphy vs. MouraMoura won
UFC Fight Night: Petrino vs. LanePetrino won
UFC Fight Night: Ramirez vs. DavisDavis won
UFC Fight Night: Tafa vs. TokkosTokkos won
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. BonfimBonfim won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Walker

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event