TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc90…a076

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT4858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$34
Noche UFC: Hernandez vs. Ferreirabacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
UFC Fight Night: Maheshate vs. Youngbacked Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.39
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakurabacked Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. Oleksiejczukbacked Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezbacked Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
UFC 319: Barboza vs. Klosebacked Barboza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
UFC 319: Silva vs. Barbosa backed Barbosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandezbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
UFC Fight Night: Erceg vs. Osbournebacked Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+46%+$25.2
UFC Fight Night: Lucindo vs. Hillbacked Lucindo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
UFC Fight Night: Fili vs. Rodriguezbacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Cachoeirabacked Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Tairabacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$31.25
UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. Cornollebacked Rosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+25%+$3
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Vallejosbacked Vallejos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$4.3
UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. Pulyaevbacked Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$12.1
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+106.9%+$52.07
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheebacked Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. Guskovbacked Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+165.5%+$18.7
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.07
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylovbacked Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$19.8
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Tigersbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$3.71
Blue Jays vs. Red Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+36.9%+$63.46
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.29
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$14.62
Rangers vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-67.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+96.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.33
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST Bounty: The MongolZ vs. Aurorabacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold Cup Final Winner: USA vs. Mexico backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Syria by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.