TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Astros vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Astros, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$617,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$613,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $617,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Astros47c204,092$95,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,845.3716643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels52c166,956$86,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,191.951,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Angels53c103,285$54,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,576.7817351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Angels52c85,687$44,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,150.6811746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Astros48c79,999$38,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,043.9760249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Astros48c35,688$17,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,130.2386751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Angels56c25,944$14,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,481.8935854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Angels53c20,531$10,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,649.6113262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Astros33c18,653$6,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,139.1830842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Astros48c14,795$7,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,106.3897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Astros48c13,998$6,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,697.571,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Astros48c13,465$6,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,463.081,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros48c9,011$4,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,336.781,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Angels53c7,777$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,621.8198149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Astros48c7,719$3,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,696.091,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Astros47c5,775$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.9925550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Astros48c5,630$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.421740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Astros46c5,580$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.645248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Astros41c5,465$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.9115745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels52c5,157$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.912,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros48c5,001$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.4873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Angels53c4,933$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.6741850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Angels65c4,782$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.0554941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Angels53c3,960$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.111,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7a…6f28backed Astros32c3,244$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.721172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Astros49c3,077$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.3676456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Astros48c2,769$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.1269249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Astros4c2,431$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Astros48c2,400$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15226847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels62c2,309$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.929,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Astros18c2,125$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3757951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Angels52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Angels53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.9612655.6%70 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Astros7c1,986$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bcd…6bddbacked Astros8c1,913$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16017558.9%103 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Astros2c1,706$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0646631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Angels53c1,550$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72343654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Astros12c1,390$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9817744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Astros16c1,355$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.121,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Astros10c1,238$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11922312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Angels51c1,121$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.2714747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros47c1,050$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Astros48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80fc…c14fbacked Astros10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016241.4%67 W · 95 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab0…d582backed Angels53c999.95$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.983743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Astros47c999.95$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9793240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Astros2c947.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.158762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ab…3bb0backed Angels54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.931758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked Angels58c874.79$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.412166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Astros45c867.69$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.469645.8%44 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Astros47c854.94$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.8295850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Astros40c849.14$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3418543.5%37 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Astros40c840$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33615151%77 W · 74 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Angels67c734.82$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.2268769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Astros6c718.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Astros25c675.78$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5717754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Astros50c650$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3255648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Astros33c576.5$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19052542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Astros48c548.52$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.0785047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros46c530$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3965549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Astros51c513.73$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26225835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Astros47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Astros49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Astros47c450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.515543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Astros48c428$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Astros47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Astros48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Astros48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2c…a1c2backed Astros50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Astros26c390.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Astros48c390$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.29448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Astros52c382.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Angels54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13814549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Astros48c283.6$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1317239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros49c271.82$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13428453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Astros48c270.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3133…5b73backed Astros47c269.87$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.843351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Astros47c261.47$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8940547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x943e…2d6cbacked Angels51c256$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a86…80efbacked Astros9c245$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros44c240.04$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10666645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Astros25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602825%7 W · 21 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Astros47c222$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3427953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2ed…3cc4backed Astros23c218.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Astros47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x998c…6f97backed Astros47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003129%9 W · 22 L-8.0wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-50.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Angels48c209$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.681,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels49c204.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.492,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Astros49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007042.9%30 W · 40 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Astros49c204$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1440352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc79f…a28fbacked Angels53c203$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Astros34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6850447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Astros51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af5…c533backed Astros48c193.88$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.064946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa588…2972backed Astros48c191.17$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.083348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Astros53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090f…f5aabacked Angels54c188.31$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.622948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Angels74c186$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.361,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629b…6f9cbacked Angels54c172.93$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.553164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.